Sport Picks

Uruguay

Copa Uruguay

Maldonado

4 - 1

Wanderers

Our Tip

Match Events

Araujo A.

42'

Fernandez J.

81'

Centeno B.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-1. The second leg ended 4-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%

Maldonado

30%

Draws

14%

Wanderers

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Maldonado

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Maldonado come out ahead of Wanderers on wins alone.
Maldonado are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Maldonado have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Maldonado, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%

Maldonado Clean Sheet 20%

Wanderers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Maldonado	Wanderers
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	15	12
Draws	7	8
Losses	7	10
Goals Scored	1.52	1.27
Goals Conceded	0.9	1.33
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Copa Uruguay

Maldonado vs Wanderers

4:1

Sep 5, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya

Maldonado vs Wanderers

2:0

May 24, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya

Wanderers vs Maldonado

1:1

Mar 6, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya

Wanderers vs Maldonado

0:0

Sep 20, 2024 Liga AUF Uruguaya

Maldonado vs Wanderers

1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maldonado Compare

Top Goalscorer Araujo A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Fernandez J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

Wanderers Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maldonado 85 / 100

Wanderers 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Maldonado Wanderers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maldonado Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maldonado scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Wanderers let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Maldonado remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Maldonado VS Wanderers

1.5 Goals Scored 1.13

0.63 Goals Conceded 2.25

75% Over 1.5 88%

25% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Maldonado

(Home)

19 Sept

Maldonado

2 : 0

Cerro Largo

13 Sept

Defensor Sp.

1 : 0

Maldonado

09 Sept

Maldonado

4 : 1

Wanderers

05 Sept

Maldonado

2 : 0

Wanderers

02 Sept

Cerrito

0 : 2

Maldonado

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Wanderers

(Away)

20 Sept

Danubio

1 : 1

Wanderers

12 Sept

Wanderers

1 : 1

Club Nacional

09 Sept

Maldonado

4 : 1

Wanderers

05 Sept

Maldonado

2 : 0

Wanderers

01 Sept

Wanderers

1 : 1

CA Cerro

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