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Malecnik vs Grad

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - East 2012/2013
Malecnik Logo

Malecnik

2 - 1
FT
Grad Logo

Grad

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Malecnik in this 3. SNL - East 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Malecnik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Malecnik
15%
Draws
49%
Grad
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Grad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Grad lately — more wins on the board than Malecnik.
  • Grad are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Malecnik Clean Sheet 11%
Grad Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malecnik Grad
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 6 19
Draws 1 7
Losses 23 7
Goals Scored 1.17 2.12
Goals Conceded 3.23 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2014 3. SNL - East
Malecnik vs Grad
3:1
Nov 10, 2013 3. SNL - East
Grad vs Malecnik
0:0
Jun 15, 2013 3. SNL - East
Malecnik vs Grad
2:1
Nov 18, 2012 3. SNL - East
Grad vs Malecnik
4:2
Mar 24, 2012 3. SNL - East
Malecnik vs Grad
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malecnik 10 / 100
Grad 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malecnik Grad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grad Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Malecnik scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Grad's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 33 matches.

Difficult form: Grad registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Malecnik VS Grad
1 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Malecnik

(Home)
19 Nov
Jadran Dekani
2 : 0
Malecnik
21 Oct
Malecnik
2 : 1
Kamnik
06 Jun
Radlje ob Dravi
5 : 1
Malecnik
30 May
Malecnik
1 : 9
Drava
26 May
Smarje
1 : 0
Malecnik
Page 1 of 6

Grad

(Away)
18 Oct
NK Carda Martjanci
1 : 0
Grad
14 Aug
Grad
1 : 4
Krsko Posavje
05 Jun
Koper
4 : 0
Grad
01 Jun
Odranci
1 : 1
Grad
26 May
Grad
3 : 0
Radgona
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Verzej 26 16 2 8 57:32 50
2 Smarje 26 14 5 7 63:31 47
3 Odranci 26 14 5 7 45:32 47
4 Beltinci 26 14 4 8 55:41 46
5 Dravograd 26 14 3 9 55:38 45
6 Ljutomer 26 10 8 8 26:27 38
7 NK Carda Martjanci 26 11 5 10 45:53 38
8 Tromejnik 26 11 4 11 58:49 37
9 Malecnik 26 10 4 12 35:41 34
10 Bistrica 26 9 5 12 29:39 32
11 Grad 26 9 2 15 38:48 29
12 Zrece 26 8 5 13 21:44 29
13 Rakican 26 7 4 15 42:62 25
14 NK Kovinar Store 26 6 2 18 29:61 20
Promotion - 2. SNL 2013/2014 (Main)