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Mali U20 vs Ghana U20 Prediction & H2H Stats

Africa Africa

African Games 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mali U20 in this African Games 2019 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mali U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Mali U20
20%
Draws
29%
Ghana U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mali U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Mali U20 have won more games recently than Ghana U20.
  • Model gives Mali U20 a 36% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this African Games 2019 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Mali U20 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Mali U20 Clean Sheet 18%
Ghana U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mali U20 Ghana U20
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 14 11
Draws 4 8
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.63 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2019 African Games
Mali U20 vs Ghana U20
4:2
Feb 9, 2019 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Mali U20 vs Ghana U20
1:0
Jun 10, 2015 World Cup U20
Ghana U20 vs Mali U20
0:3
Mar 22, 2015 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Ghana U20 vs Mali U20
3:1
Mar 15, 2015 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Ghana U20 vs Mali U20
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mali U20 36 / 100
Ghana U20 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mali U20 Ghana U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mali U20 found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Ghana U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Mali U20 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mali U20 VS Ghana U20
2.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mali U20

(Home)
14 Jun
Mali U20
3 : 2
Japan U20
09 Jun
Saudi Arabia U23
2 : 3
Mali U20
06 Jun
France U20
1 : 2
Mali U20
03 Jun
Mali U20
1 : 2
Panama U20
06 Jul
Mali U23
1 : 0
Mali U20
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Ghana U20

(Away)
02 Aug
Ghana U20
0 : 0
Togo U20
30 Jul
Ghana U20
1 : 1
Burkina Faso U20
27 Jul
Nigeria U20
4 : 2
Ghana U20
23 Jul
Ghana U20
2 : 0
Niger U20
20 Jul
Ghana U20
1 : 2
Ivory Coast U20
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burkina Faso U20 3 2 1 0 7:1 7
2 Nigeria U20 3 1 2 0 5:4 5
3 Morocco U20 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
4 South Africa U20 3 0 0 3 1:7 0
Promotion - African Games 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mali U20 3 2 1 0 7:2 7
2 Senegal U20 3 2 1 0 3:0 7
3 Ghana U20 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
4 Burundi U20 3 0 0 3 1:7 0
Promotion - African Games 2019 (Play Offs)