Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mali U20 vs Japan U20

World World

Maurice Revello Tournament 2025 Stade du Moulin, Noves
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Sidibe A.
31' Event
Thiero O.
51' Event
Mori S.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-2, with Mali U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Mali U20
15%
Draws
53%
Japan U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Japan U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Japan U20 come out ahead of Mali U20 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Japan U20's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Japan U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Mali U20, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Mali U20 Clean Sheet 12%
Japan U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mali U20 Japan U20
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 16
Draws 4 8
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.63 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2025 Maurice Revello Tournament
Mali U20 vs Japan U20
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mali U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sidibe A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Thiero O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Japan U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mori S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ishii H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mali U20 10 / 100
Japan U20 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mali U20 Japan U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Japan U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Mali U20 found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Japan U20 let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Mali U20 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mali U20 VS Japan U20
2.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mali U20

(Home)
14 Jun
Mali U20
3 : 2
Japan U20
09 Jun
Saudi Arabia U23
2 : 3
Mali U20
06 Jun
France U20
1 : 2
Mali U20
03 Jun
Mali U20
1 : 2
Panama U20
06 Jul
Mali U23
1 : 0
Mali U20
Page 1 of 6

Japan U20

(Away)
06 Sept
Japan U20
4 : 0
Yemen U20
03 Sept
Cambodia U20
0 : 8
Japan U20
31 Aug
Japan U20
4 : 0
Kuwait U20
11 Jun
Venezuela U20
0 : 1
Japan U20
06 Jun
Japan U20
1 : 0
Canada U20
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

5th place
Panama U20 0
Congo U20 1
Mali U20 3
Japan U20 2