Sport Picks

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Mali U20 vs Rwanda U20

Africa Africa

CAF African Championship U20 2013
Mali U20 Logo

Mali U20

3 - 0
FT
Rwanda U20 Logo

Rwanda U20

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mali U20 in this CAF African Championship U20 2013 tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Mali U20
20%
Draws
29%
Rwanda U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mali U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mali U20 lately — more wins on the board than Rwanda U20.
  • Win probability leans Mali U20's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Mali U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Mali U20, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Rwanda U20 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Mali U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Rwanda U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mali U20 Rwanda U20
Matches Played 33 25
Wins 15 6
Draws 4 9
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.64 0.84
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2012 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Mali U20 vs Rwanda U20
3:0
Jul 29, 2012 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Rwanda U20 vs Mali U20
2:1
Jan 18, 2009 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Rwanda U20 vs Mali U20
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mali U20 40 / 100
Rwanda U20 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mali U20 Rwanda U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mali U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rwanda U20 let in goals in 80% of their last 25 matches.

Mali U20 scored in 79% of their last 33 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Mali U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mali U20 VS Rwanda U20
1.63 Goals Scored 0.83
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.33
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Mali U20

(Home)
14 Jun
Mali U20
3 : 2
Japan U20
09 Jun
Saudi Arabia U23
2 : 3
Mali U20
06 Jun
France U20
1 : 2
Mali U20
03 Jun
Mali U20
1 : 2
Panama U20
06 Jul
Mali U23
1 : 0
Mali U20
Page 1 of 7

Rwanda U20

(Away)
17 Sept
Rwanda U20
0 : 0
Ethiopia U20
15 Sept
Tanzania U20
3 : 0
Rwanda U20
15 Oct
Rwanda U20
5 : 1
Djibouti U20
13 Oct
Tanzania U20
3 : 0
Rwanda U20
10 Oct
Rwanda U20
0 : 0
Kenya U20
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Benin U20 -
TBD -
TBD -
Ivory Coast U20 -
Niger U20 6
Liberia U20 1
TBD -
Senegal U20 -
South Africa U20 -
TBD -
TBD -
Congo U20 -
Tanzania U20 4
Sudan U20 3
TBD -
Nigeria U20 -
Zambia U20 -
TBD -
TBD -
Lesotho U20 -
Rwanda U20 4
Namibia U20 1
TBD -
Mali U20 -
Cameroon U20 -
TBD -
Chad U20 3
Sierra Leone U20 5
Mauritius U20 -
TBD -
Central Africa U20 -
D.R. Congo U20 -
Burkina Faso U20 -
TBD -
TBD -
Guinea U20 -
Tunisia U20 5
Libya U20 3
TBD -
Gabon U20 -
Egypt U20 -
TBD -
TBD -
Kenya U20 -
Zimbabwe U20 5
Botswana U20 1
TBD -
Angola U20 -
Ghana U20 -
TBD -
Mozambique U20 1
Uganda U20 5
Gambia U20 -
TBD -
Mauritania U20 2
Morocco U20 7
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
Benin U20 3
Ivory Coast U20 0
Niger U20 3
Senegal U20 4
South Africa U20 2
Congo U20 2
Tanzania U20 1
Nigeria U20 4
Zambia U20 -
Lesotho U20 -
Rwanda U20 2
Mali U20 4
Cameroon U20 3
Sierra Leone U20 1
Mauritius U20 0
D.R. Congo U20 3
Burkina Faso U20 2
Guinea U20 2
Tunisia U20 2
Gabon U20 3
Egypt U20 3
Kenya U20 0
Zimbabwe U20 0
Angola U20 4
Ghana U20 4
Uganda U20 3
Gambia U20 0
Morocco U20 7
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stage 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stage 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stage 1
TBD -
TBD -
Final
Benin U20 4
Senegal U20 1
South Africa U20 2
Nigeria U20 4
Zambia U20 2
Mali U20 5
Cameroon U20 3
D.R. Congo U20 4
Burkina Faso U20 2
Gabon U20 4
Egypt U20 2
Angola U20 1
Ghana U20 5
Morocco U20 4
TBD -
TBD -