Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mali U23 vs Ghana U23

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U23 2019
Our Tip

Match Events

44'
Dieng A.
46'
Sub
Polley R. In: Owusu
Out: Polley R.
58'
Sub
Kone I. In: Toure E. B.
Out: Kone I.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Ghana U23 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Mali U23
6%
Draws
4%
Ghana U23
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mali U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ghana U23 haven't matched Mali U23's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Mali U23 a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Mali U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ghana U23, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Mali U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Ghana U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mali U23 Ghana U23
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 11
Draws 6 8
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.88 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 14, 2019 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Mali U23 vs Ghana U23
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mali U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Ghana U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Owusu
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.65

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mali U23 95 / 100
Ghana U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mali U23 Ghana U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mali U23 scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Recent resilience: Mali U23 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Ghana U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Mali U23 VS Ghana U23
1.88 Goals Scored 1.17
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 33%
38% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Mali U23

(Home)
18 Nov
Indonesia U23
2 : 2
Mali U23
15 Nov
Indonesia U23
0 : 3
Mali U23
19 Jul
FC Bobigny 93
0 : 3
Mali U23
06 Jul
Mali U23
1 : 0
Mali U20
02 Jul
Mali U23
2 : 0
Mali U20
Page 1 of 6

Ghana U23

(Away)
30 Jun
Guinea U23
1 : 1
Ghana U23
27 Jun
Morocco U23
5 : 1
Ghana U23
25 Jun
Ghana U23
3 : 2
Congo U23
15 Jun
Egypt U23
1 : 1
Ghana U23
28 Mar
Ghana U23
1 : 0
Algeria U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Egypt U2333006:39
2Ghana U2331115:44
3Cameroon U2331113:34
4Mali U2330030:40
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U23 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U23 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ivory Coast U2332012:16
2South Africa U2331201:05
3Nigeria U2331113:24
4Zambia U2330121:41
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U23 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U23 2019 (Play Offs)