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Malindi vs Al Masry Prediction & H2H Stats

Africa Africa

CAF Confederation Cup 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Wadi M.
33' Event
Ali H.
40' Event
Wadi M.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-4, with Al Masry advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Malindi
15%
Draws
51%
Al Masry
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Masry

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Masry come out ahead of Malindi on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Al Masry arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Masry, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Malindi Clean Sheet 20%
Al Masry Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malindi Al Masry
Matches Played 7 31
Wins 2 13
Draws 2 8
Losses 3 10
Goals Scored 0.71 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2019 CAF Confederation Cup
Al Masry vs Malindi
3:1
Sep 15, 2019 CAF Confederation Cup
Malindi vs Al Masry
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Malindi Compare

Top Goalscorer Ali I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Al Masry Compare

Top Goalscorer Wadi M.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Ali H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malindi 36 / 100
Al Masry 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malindi Al Masry

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Masry Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Al Masry has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Difficult form: Al Masry registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Malindi's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 7 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Al Masry
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Malindi

(Home)
10 Jan
Azam
1 : 0
Malindi
06 Jan
Malindi
0 : 0
Mlandege
29 Sept
Al Masry
3 : 1
Malindi
15 Sept
Malindi
1 : 4
Al Masry
24 Aug
Malindi
1 : 0
Mogadishu City
Page 1 of 2

Al Masry

(Away)
15 Sept
Al Masry
0 : 2
Al Ittihad Alexandria
07 Sept
Petrojet
2 : 1
Al Masry
31 Aug
Al Masry
0 : 1
Pyramids
27 Aug
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
2 : 3
Al Masry
22 Aug
Al Masry
1 : 0
Smouha
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Horoya -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bandari 1
Ahli Shendi 1
Ben Guerdane 5
Amarat United 1
Young Africans -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pyramids 5
Etoile du Congo 1
CR Belouizdad 4
CotonTchad 0
Enyimba International -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TS Galaxy 2
Saint Louis 0
TBD -
CNaPS Sport -
Generation Foot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SNIM 0
Loto 7
TBD -
Salitas -
Asante Kotoko -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Niger Tornadoes 4
Santoba 5
TBD -
San Pedro -
Kampala City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Paradou 3
CI Kamsar 1
TBD -
CS Sfaxien -
Mahia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AS Arta 1
Al-Khartoum 4
Motema Pembe 4
Stade Renard 0
UD Songo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Buildcon 1
Young Buffaloes 2
TBD -
Bidvest Wits -
Elect Sport -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maranatha 3
Liberia Registry 0
TBD -
Djoliba -
Green Eagles -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
US Gendarmerie 1
Al Ittihad 3
TBD -
Hassania Agadir -
Cano Sport -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bolton City 3
Jwaneng Galaxy 2
TBD -
Zanaco -
Fosa Juniors -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Akonangui 1
Ashanti 4
TBD -
Berkane -
Cote d'Or -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mogadishu City 0
Malindi 1
TBD -
Al Masry -
ASC Kara -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pelican Lambarene 3
AS Maniema 2
TBD -
Rangers International -
Nouadhibou -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fasil Kenema 2
Azam 3
Triangle 5
Rukinzo 0
Al Nasr -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kigali FC 2
Kinondoni MC 1
Proline 3
Masters Security 0
Semi-finals
Horoya -
TBD -
Bandari 3
Ben Guerdane 2
Young Africans -
TBD -
Pyramids 2
CR Belouizdad 1
Enyimba International -
TBD -
TS Galaxy 4
CNaPS Sport 1
Generation Foot -
TBD -
Loto 1
Salitas 0
Asante Kotoko -
TBD -
Santoba 0
San Pedro 3
Kampala City -
TBD -
Paradou 3
CS Sfaxien 1
Mahia -
TBD -
Al-Khartoum 3
Motema Pembe 4
UD Songo -
TBD -
Young Buffaloes 1
Bidvest Wits 3
Elect Sport -
TBD -
Maranatha 2
Djoliba 3
Green Eagles -
TBD -
Al Ittihad 1
Hassania Agadir 1
Cano Sport -
TBD -
Bolton City 1
Zanaco 5
Fosa Juniors -
TBD -
Ashanti 3
Berkane 4
Cote d'Or -
TBD -
Malindi 2
Al Masry 7
ASC Kara -
TBD -
Pelican Lambarene 3
Rangers International 4
Nouadhibou -
TBD -
Azam 0
Triangle 2
Al Nasr -
TBD -
Kigali FC 2
Proline 3
Stage 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stage 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stage 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stage 1
TBD -
TBD -
Final
Horoya 5
Bandari 2
Young Africans 1
Pyramids 5
Enyimba International 4
TS Galaxy 1
Generation Foot 1
Loto 2
Asante Kotoko 1
San Pedro 2
Kampala City 1
Paradou 4
Mahia 2
Motema Pembe 3
UD Songo 1
Bidvest Wits 8
Elect Sport 0
Djoliba 5
Green Eagles 2
Hassania Agadir 3
Cano Sport 2
Zanaco 8
Fosa Juniors 2
Berkane 5
Cote d'Or 0
Al Masry 6
ASC Kara 2
Rangers International 2
Nouadhibou 4
Triangle 3
Al Nasr 4
Proline 2