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Malindi vs Mogadishu City Prediction & H2H Stats

Africa Africa

CAF Confederation Cup 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

71' Event
Mosi M.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Malindi advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Malindi
15%
Draws
36%
Mogadishu City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Malindi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mogadishu City come out ahead of Malindi on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Malindi taking it.
  • Mogadishu City arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Malindi, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 27%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Malindi Clean Sheet 15%
Mogadishu City Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malindi Mogadishu City
Matches Played 7 32
Wins 2 14
Draws 2 8
Losses 3 10
Goals Scored 0.71 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2019 CAF Confederation Cup
Malindi vs Mogadishu City
1:0
Aug 11, 2019 CAF Confederation Cup
Mogadishu City vs Malindi
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Malindi Compare

Top Goalscorer Mosi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Mogadishu City Compare

Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malindi 41 / 100
Mogadishu City 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malindi Mogadishu City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mogadishu City has conceded goals in 66% of their last 32 outings.

Away concern: Mogadishu City has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Malindi found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (7 games).

Historical meetings average 0.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

- VS Mogadishu City
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Malindi

(Home)
10 Jan
Azam
1 : 0
Malindi
06 Jan
Malindi
0 : 0
Mlandege
29 Sept
Al Masry
3 : 1
Malindi
15 Sept
Malindi
1 : 4
Al Masry
24 Aug
Malindi
1 : 0
Mogadishu City
Page 1 of 2

Mogadishu City

(Away)
12 Sept
Kitara
2 : 0
Mogadishu City
06 Sept
Mogadishu City
1 : 2
Kitara
13 Aug
Mogadishu City
0 : 1
Heegan
09 Aug
Gaadiidka
3 : 1
Mogadishu City
06 Aug
Gantaalaha Afgooye
2 : 4
Mogadishu City
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Horoya -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bandari 1
Ahli Shendi 1
Ben Guerdane 5
Amarat United 1
Young Africans -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pyramids 5
Etoile du Congo 1
CR Belouizdad 4
CotonTchad 0
Enyimba International -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TS Galaxy 2
Saint Louis 0
TBD -
CNaPS Sport -
Generation Foot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SNIM 0
Loto 7
TBD -
Salitas -
Asante Kotoko -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Niger Tornadoes 4
Santoba 5
TBD -
San Pedro -
Kampala City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Paradou 3
CI Kamsar 1
TBD -
CS Sfaxien -
Mahia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AS Arta 1
Al-Khartoum 4
Motema Pembe 4
Stade Renard 0
UD Songo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Buildcon 1
Young Buffaloes 2
TBD -
Bidvest Wits -
Elect Sport -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maranatha 3
Liberia Registry 0
TBD -
Djoliba -
Green Eagles -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
US Gendarmerie 1
Al Ittihad 3
TBD -
Hassania Agadir -
Cano Sport -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bolton City 3
Jwaneng Galaxy 2
TBD -
Zanaco -
Fosa Juniors -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Akonangui 1
Ashanti 4
TBD -
Berkane -
Cote d'Or -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mogadishu City 0
Malindi 1
TBD -
Al Masry -
ASC Kara -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pelican Lambarene 3
AS Maniema 2
TBD -
Rangers International -
Nouadhibou -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fasil Kenema 2
Azam 3
Triangle 5
Rukinzo 0
Al Nasr -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kigali FC 2
Kinondoni MC 1
Proline 3
Masters Security 0
Semi-finals
Horoya -
TBD -
Bandari 3
Ben Guerdane 2
Young Africans -
TBD -
Pyramids 2
CR Belouizdad 1
Enyimba International -
TBD -
TS Galaxy 4
CNaPS Sport 1
Generation Foot -
TBD -
Loto 1
Salitas 0
Asante Kotoko -
TBD -
Santoba 0
San Pedro 3
Kampala City -
TBD -
Paradou 3
CS Sfaxien 1
Mahia -
TBD -
Al-Khartoum 3
Motema Pembe 4
UD Songo -
TBD -
Young Buffaloes 1
Bidvest Wits 3
Elect Sport -
TBD -
Maranatha 2
Djoliba 3
Green Eagles -
TBD -
Al Ittihad 1
Hassania Agadir 1
Cano Sport -
TBD -
Bolton City 1
Zanaco 5
Fosa Juniors -
TBD -
Ashanti 3
Berkane 4
Cote d'Or -
TBD -
Malindi 2
Al Masry 7
ASC Kara -
TBD -
Pelican Lambarene 3
Rangers International 4
Nouadhibou -
TBD -
Azam 0
Triangle 2
Al Nasr -
TBD -
Kigali FC 2
Proline 3
Stage 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stage 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stage 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stage 1
TBD -
TBD -
Final
Horoya 5
Bandari 2
Young Africans 1
Pyramids 5
Enyimba International 4
TS Galaxy 1
Generation Foot 1
Loto 2
Asante Kotoko 1
San Pedro 2
Kampala City 1
Paradou 4
Mahia 2
Motema Pembe 3
UD Songo 1
Bidvest Wits 8
Elect Sport 0
Djoliba 5
Green Eagles 2
Hassania Agadir 3
Cano Sport 2
Zanaco 8
Fosa Juniors 2
Berkane 5
Cote d'Or 0
Al Masry 6
ASC Kara 2
Rangers International 2
Nouadhibou 4
Triangle 3
Al Nasr 4
Proline 2