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Maliqi vs Besa Kavaje

Albania Albania

First Division 2021/2022
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Match Events

20' Event
Kita M.
39' Event
Sulovari H.
51' Event
Kita M.

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2021/2022 game between Maliqi and Besa Kavaje finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maliqi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Maliqi
6%
Draws
90%
Besa Kavaje
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Besa Kavaje

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Besa Kavaje carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Besa Kavaje a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Maliqi Clean Sheet 20%
Besa Kavaje Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maliqi Besa Kavaje
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 14
Draws 4 5
Losses 21 13
Goals Scored 0 1
Goals Conceded 0 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2022 Kategoria e Parë
Maliqi vs Besa Kavaje
3:2
Nov 21, 2021 Kategoria e Parë
Besa Kavaje vs Maliqi
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maliqi Compare

Top Goalscorer Kita M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Xaka A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Besa Kavaje Compare

Top Goalscorer Sulovari H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hoxha E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maliqi 10 / 100
Besa Kavaje 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maliqi Besa Kavaje

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BES Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Besa Kavaje let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Maliqi found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Maliqi has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Besa Kavaje
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bylis30223551:1869
2Erzeni Shijak30214557:1867
3Korabi Peshkopi30178535:2259
4Apolonia Fier301631144:2551
5Terbuni Puka301211721:1647
6Tomori Berat301281045:3144
7Lushnja301012831:2742
8Burreli301011930:2441
9Besa Kavaje301241436:4040
10Beselidhja Lezha301231545:5439
11Pogradeci301081232:3738
12Turbina Cerrik301141531:4437
13Butrinti Sarande30971432:3634
14Maliqi30651932:6223
15Vora30561932:5421
16Shkumbini Peqin30532230:7618