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Maliqi vs Shkumbini Peqin

Albania Albania

First Division 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Maliqi play Shkumbini Peqin in the First Division 2021/2022. Maliqi are favorites here. Recently, Maliqi averaged 0.97 goals scored and 2.4 conceded. Shkumbini Peqin averaged 0.77 goals scored and 2.97 conceded. In past meetings, Maliqi won 1, Shkumbini Peqin won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 12, 2022 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.13 for Maliqi and 1.56 for Shkumbini Peqin. This points to a Maliqi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Maliqi
15%
Draws
26%
Shkumbini Peqin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Maliqi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Maliqi picked up more points recently compared to Shkumbini Peqin.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.13 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Maliqi Clean Sheet 15%
Shkumbini Peqin Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 81%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maliqi Shkumbini Peqin
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 2
Draws 4 2
Losses 21 26
Goals Scored 0.97 0.77
Goals Conceded 2.4 2.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 3.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2022 Kategoria e Parë
Maliqi vs Shkumbini Peqin
2:1
Oct 2, 2021 Kategoria e Parë
Shkumbini Peqin vs Maliqi
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maliqi Compare

Top Goalscorer Rezhda L.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Shkumbini Peqin Compare

Top Goalscorer Nexha J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.23
Avg xA / game 0.14

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maliqi 56 / 100
Shkumbini Peqin 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maliqi Shkumbini Peqin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maliqi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Maliqi & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.6%
1.96
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.3%
1.54
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Maliqi attacking → ← attacking Shkumbini Peqin

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maliqi scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Shkumbini Peqin let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Maliqi went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Shkumbini Peqin lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

19 Points in last 5 8
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.25
2.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Bylis30223551:1869
2Erzeni Shijak30214557:1867
3Korabi Peshkopi30178535:2259
4Apolonia Fier301631144:2551
5Terbuni Puka301211721:1647
6Tomori Berat301281045:3144
7Lushnja301012831:2742
8Burreli301011930:2441
9Besa Kavaje301241436:4040
10Beselidhja Lezha301231545:5439
11Pogradeci301081232:3738
12Turbina Cerrik301141531:4437
13Butrinti Sarande30971432:3634
14Maliqi30651932:6223
15Vora30561932:5421
16Shkumbini Peqin30532230:7618