Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Malisheva vs Drenica

Kosovo Kosovo

Superliga 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Diatta A.
64'
Prodani I.
64'
Prodani I.

AI Match Summary

Malisheva in this Superliga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Malisheva.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Malisheva
30%
Draws
31%
Drenica
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Malisheva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Malisheva lately — more wins on the board than Drenica.
  • Model gives Malisheva a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Superliga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Malisheva Clean Sheet 18%
Drenica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malisheva Drenica
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 17 12
Draws 4 5
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 2.03 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Superliga
Malisheva vs Drenica
1:1
May 17, 2026 Superliga
Malisheva vs Drenica
4:1
Mar 17, 2026 Superliga
Drenica vs Malisheva
4:2
Dec 6, 2025 Superliga
Malisheva vs Drenica
2:0
Sep 28, 2025 Superliga
Drenica vs Malisheva
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Malisheva Compare

Top Goalscorer Diatta A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Veliu A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Drenica Compare

Top Goalscorer Uka K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malisheva 85 / 100
Drenica 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malisheva Drenica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malisheva Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malisheva's goal record stands at 94% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Defensive concern: Drenica conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Malisheva remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Malisheva VS Drenica
2.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Malisheva

(Home)
29 Aug
Feronikeli
0 : 3
Malisheva
21 Aug
Malisheva
1 : 1
Drenica
15 Aug
Vushtrria
1 : 6
Malisheva
30 Jul
Hibernian
4 : 1
Malisheva
23 Jul
Malisheva
2 : 0
Hibernian
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Drenica

(Away)
28 Aug
Drenica
0 : 2
FC Ballkani
21 Aug
Malisheva
1 : 1
Drenica
15 Aug
Drenica
0 : 0
Dukagjini
31 May
Prishtina
1 : 2
Drenica
24 May
Drenica
3 : 2
Ferizaj
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Drita 36 20 6 10 50:35 66
2 Malisheva 36 18 5 13 58:50 59
3 FC Ballkani 36 17 7 12 61:41 58
4 Dukagjini 36 13 12 11 42:36 51
5 Gjilani 36 14 9 13 47:48 51
6 Drenica 36 15 5 16 46:55 50
7 Prishtina 36 13 10 13 52:51 49
8 Llapi 36 13 10 13 46:50 49
9 Ferizaj 36 9 9 18 40:55 36
10 Prishtina e Re 36 8 7 21 39:60 31
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Superliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)