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Mallorca vs AD Ceuta

Spain Spain

LaLiga2 Estadi Mallorca Son Moix, Palma de Mallorca
Sun, Aug 30, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mallorca host AD Ceuta in the LaLiga2. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Mallorca at 1.55 goals for, 1.34 against; AD Ceuta at 1.34 for, 1.76 against. Past meetings favor Mallorca slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 28, 2001, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 1.25, favoring Mallorca. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Mallorca
15%
Draws
27%
AD Ceuta
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mallorca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Mallorca average 1.55 goals a game right now, well clear of AD Ceuta's 1.34.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Mallorca taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Mallorca Clean Sheet 19%
AD Ceuta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mallorca AD Ceuta
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.55 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 28, 2001 Copa del Rey
AD Ceuta vs Mallorca
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mallorca 85 / 100
AD Ceuta 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mallorca AD Ceuta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mallorca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Ceuta let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Mallorca remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Mallorca found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Difficult form: AD Ceuta registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mallorca VS AD Ceuta
2 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mallorca

(Home)
15 Aug
Mallorca
2 : 0
Valladolid
08 Aug
Mallorca
1 : 1
Elversberg
05 Aug
Mallorca
3 : 0
PSG
30 Jul
Mallorca
4 : 2
Al Ittihad
25 Jul
Mallorca
3 : 0
Al Fateh
Page 1 of 6

AD Ceuta

(Away)
15 Aug
FC Andorra
5 : 1
AD Ceuta
07 Aug
AD Ceuta
2 : 1
Malaga
29 Jul
Cadiz
1 : 3
AD Ceuta
26 Jul
Sevilla
2 : 1
AD Ceuta
22 Jul
Torremolinos
1 : 0
AD Ceuta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Andorra 1 1 0 0 5:1 3
2 Almeria 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
3 Tenerife 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
4 Mallorca 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
5 Burgos CF 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
6 Las Palmas 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
7 Castellon 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
8 Girona 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
9 Leganes 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
10 Gijon 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
11 Cadiz 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
12 Celta Vigo B 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
13 Sabadell 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
14 Granada CF 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
15 Real Oviedo 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
16 Cordoba 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
17 Albacete 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
18 Real Sociedad B 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
19 Eibar 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
20 Valladolid 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
21 Eldense 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
22 AD Ceuta 1 0 0 1 1:5 0
Promotion - LaLiga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Play Offs)