Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mallorca vs Almeria

Spain Spain

LaLiga2 Estadi Mallorca Son Moix, Palma de Mallorca
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Calatayud M.
32'
Sub
Roca A. In: Cerda J.
Out: Roca A.
35' Event
de la Fuente M.

AI Match Summary

Almeria in this LaLiga2 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Almeria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Mallorca
15%
Draws
46%
Almeria
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Almeria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Almeria lately — more wins on the board than Mallorca.
  • Win probability leans Mallorca's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Mallorca Clean Sheet 20%
Almeria Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mallorca Almeria
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 13 17
Draws 5 4
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.45 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 LaLiga2
Mallorca vs Almeria
0:1
May 19, 2024 LaLiga
Mallorca vs Almeria
2:2
Dec 17, 2023 LaLiga
Almeria vs Mallorca
0:0
May 20, 2023 LaLiga
Almeria vs Mallorca
3:0
Sep 17, 2022 LaLiga
Mallorca vs Almeria
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mallorca Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Almeria Compare

Top Goalscorer de la Fuente M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mallorca 42 / 100
Almeria 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mallorca Almeria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mallorca's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Almeria's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Mallorca has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mallorca VS Almeria
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mallorca

(Home)
27 Sept
Mallorca
0 : 1
Almeria
19 Sept
Real Sociedad B
0 : 1
Mallorca
13 Sept
Mallorca
2 : 0
Sabadell
05 Sept
Eldense
0 : 0
Mallorca
30 Aug
Mallorca
3 : 0
AD Ceuta
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Almeria

(Away)
27 Sept
Mallorca
0 : 1
Almeria
20 Sept
Almeria
2 : 0
Celta Vigo B
12 Sept
Cordoba
0 : 2
Almeria
06 Sept
Almeria
3 : 2
Cadiz
29 Aug
Sabadell
1 : 0
Almeria
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eibar 8 7 0 1 18:7 21
2 Castellon 8 6 2 0 15:3 20
3 Almeria 8 6 0 2 13:5 18
4 Girona 8 4 2 2 14:8 14
5 Mallorca 8 4 2 2 8:3 14
6 Burgos CF 8 4 2 2 12:9 14
7 Sabadell 8 3 4 1 8:6 13
8 Gijon 8 4 1 3 8:8 13
9 Granada CF 8 3 2 3 13:13 11
10 Real Oviedo 8 3 2 3 8:8 11
11 Las Palmas 8 3 2 3 12:13 11
12 Tenerife 8 3 2 3 10:12 11
13 Leganes 8 3 2 3 6:11 11
14 Valladolid 8 2 3 3 8:11 9
15 Cordoba 8 3 0 5 13:18 9
16 Real Sociedad B 8 2 2 4 11:13 8
17 Eldense 8 2 2 4 8:10 8
18 Celta Vigo B 8 2 2 4 10:14 8
19 Cadiz 8 1 4 3 11:10 7
20 FC Andorra 8 2 1 5 12:15 7
21 AD Ceuta 8 1 2 5 7:18 5
22 Albacete 8 0 1 7 5:15 1
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