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Mallorca vs Las Palmas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

LaLiga2 Estadi Mallorca Son Moix, Palma de Mallorca
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mallorca host Las Palmas in the LaLiga2. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Mallorca at 1.45 goals for, 1.14 against; Las Palmas at 1.52 for, 1.31 against. Past meetings favor Mallorca slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 16, 2025, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 0.88, favoring Mallorca. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Mallorca
20%
Draws
23%
Las Palmas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mallorca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Las Palmas have won more games recently than Mallorca.
  • Mallorca are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Mallorca Clean Sheet 20%
Las Palmas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mallorca Las Palmas
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 15
Draws 5 3
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.45 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2025 LaLiga
Mallorca vs Las Palmas
3:1
Nov 23, 2024 LaLiga
Las Palmas vs Mallorca
2:3
May 11, 2024 LaLiga
Mallorca vs Las Palmas
1:0
Aug 12, 2023 LaLiga
Las Palmas vs Mallorca
1:1
Apr 4, 2021 LaLiga2
Las Palmas vs Mallorca
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mallorca 85 / 100
Las Palmas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mallorca Las Palmas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mallorca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mallorca scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Las Palmas conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Mallorca remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mallorca VS Las Palmas
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mallorca

(Home)
27 Sept
Mallorca
0 : 1
Almeria
19 Sept
Real Sociedad B
0 : 1
Mallorca
13 Sept
Mallorca
2 : 0
Sabadell
05 Sept
Eldense
0 : 0
Mallorca
30 Aug
Mallorca
3 : 0
AD Ceuta
Page 1 of 6

Las Palmas

(Away)
27 Sept
Eibar
3 : 2
Las Palmas
20 Sept
Las Palmas
1 : 2
Burgos CF
12 Sept
Cadiz
0 : 1
Las Palmas
04 Sept
Las Palmas
0 : 0
Leganes
29 Aug
Girona
5 : 2
Las Palmas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Castellon 7 6 1 0 14:2 19
2 Eibar 7 6 0 1 15:6 18
3 Almeria 7 5 0 2 11:4 15
4 Burgos CF 7 4 2 1 11:7 14
5 Girona 7 4 1 2 14:8 13
6 Mallorca 7 4 1 2 8:3 13
7 Sabadell 7 3 3 1 8:6 12
8 Real Oviedo 8 3 2 3 8:8 11
9 Tenerife 7 3 2 2 8:9 11
10 Leganes 7 3 2 2 6:7 11
11 Las Palmas 7 3 1 3 10:11 10
12 Gijon 7 3 1 3 5:6 10
13 Granada CF 7 2 2 3 10:11 8
14 Real Sociedad B 7 2 2 3 9:10 8
15 Eldense 8 2 2 4 8:10 8
16 Celta Vigo B 7 2 2 3 8:11 8
17 Valladolid 7 2 2 3 6:9 8
18 FC Andorra 7 2 0 5 12:15 6
19 Cordoba 7 2 0 5 10:16 6
20 Cadiz 7 0 4 3 7:10 4
21 AD Ceuta 7 1 1 5 6:17 4
22 Albacete 7 0 1 6 4:12 1
Promotion - LaLiga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Play Offs)