Sport Picks
Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano
Spain
LaLiga 2025/2026 Estadi Mallorca Son Moix, Palma de Mallorca 
Match Events
23'
23'
Mendy N.
32'
32'
Lejeune F.
36'
36'
Muriqi V.
Assist: Costa S.
AI Match Summary
The LaLiga 2025/2026 game between Mallorca and Rayo Vallecano finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mallorca.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
61%
20%
19%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mallorca
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
61%
/ High Confidence
- Mallorca's 1.57 goals per match outpaces what Rayo Vallecano have produced (1.35).
- Mallorca are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular LaLiga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Mallorca Clean Sheet 68%
Rayo Vallecano Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mallorca | Rayo Vallecano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 13 | 13 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.57 | 1.35 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.33 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 12, 2026 LaLiga
Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano
3:0
Jan 11, 2026 LaLiga
Rayo Vallecano vs Mallorca
2:1
May 24, 2025 LaLiga
Rayo Vallecano vs Mallorca
0:0
Oct 20, 2024 LaLiga
Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano
1:0
Feb 11, 2024 LaLiga
Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mallorca Compare
Top Goalscorer Muriqi V.
2 Goals Assists Leader Virgili J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Rayo Vallecano Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mallorca 95 / 100
Rayo Vallecano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mallorca Rayo Vallecano
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mallorca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mallorca's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Mallorca has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Rayo Vallecano has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Mallorca VS Rayo Vallecano
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Mallorca
(Home) 15 Aug
Mallorca
2 : 0 Valladolid
08 Aug
Mallorca
1 : 1 Elversberg
05 Aug
Mallorca
3 : 0 PSG
30 Jul
Mallorca
4 : 2 Al Ittihad
25 Jul
Mallorca
3 : 0 Al Fateh
Page 1 of 6
15 Aug
Mallorca
2 : 0 Valladolid
08 Aug
Mallorca
1 : 1 Elversberg
05 Aug
Mallorca
3 : 0 PSG
30 Jul
Mallorca
4 : 2 Al Ittihad
25 Jul
Mallorca
3 : 0 Al Fateh
Page 1 of 4
Rayo Vallecano
(Away) 20 Aug
Rayo Vallecano
1 : 1 Alaves
15 Aug
Sevilla
2 : 1 Rayo Vallecano
08 Aug
Ipswich
3 : 0 Rayo Vallecano
01 Aug
Charleroi
2 : 3 Rayo Vallecano
26 Jul
Feyenoord
2 : 1 Rayo Vallecano
Page 1 of 7
15 Aug
Sevilla
2 : 1 Rayo Vallecano
08 Aug
Ipswich
3 : 0 Rayo Vallecano
01 Aug
Charleroi
2 : 3 Rayo Vallecano
26 Jul
Feyenoord
2 : 1 Rayo Vallecano
17 Jul
Hearts
2 : 1 Rayo Vallecano
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | 95:36 | 94 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 77:35 | 86 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 72:46 | 72 |
| 4 | Atl. Madrid | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 62:44 | 69 |
| 5 | Betis | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 59:48 | 60 |
| 6 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 53:48 | 54 |
| 7 | Getafe | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 32:38 | 51 |
| 8 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 41:44 | 50 |
| 9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 46:55 | 49 |
| 10 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 59:61 | 46 |
| 11 | Espanyol | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 43:55 | 46 |
| 12 | Ath Bilbao | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 43:58 | 45 |
| 13 | Sevilla | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 46:60 | 43 |
| 14 | Alaves | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 44:56 | 43 |
| 15 | Elche | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 49:57 | 43 |
| 16 | Levante | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:61 | 42 |
| 17 | Osasuna | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44:50 | 42 |
| 18 | Mallorca | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:57 | 42 |
| 19 | Girona | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 39:55 | 41 |
| 20 | Real Oviedo | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 26:60 | 29 |
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 (Main)
