Sport Picks
Mallorca vs Real Madrid
Spain
LaLiga 2025/2026 Estadi Mallorca Son Moix, Palma de Mallorca 
Match Events
41'
41'
Morlanes M.
Assist: Maffeo P.
47'
47'
Huijsen D.
59'
59'
Sub
Huijsen D. In: Eder Militao
Out: Huijsen D.
AI Match Summary
The LaLiga 2025/2026 game between Mallorca and Real Madrid finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mallorca.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Mallorca haven't matched Real Madrid's recent run of results.
- Model gives Mallorca a 40% chance of winning this.
- Regular LaLiga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Mallorca Clean Sheet 15%
Real Madrid Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mallorca | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 18 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 12 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 4, 2026 LaLiga
Mallorca vs Real Madrid
2:1
Aug 30, 2025 LaLiga
Real Madrid vs Mallorca
2:1
May 14, 2025 LaLiga
Real Madrid vs Mallorca
2:1
Jan 9, 2025 Super Cup
Real Madrid vs Mallorca
3:0
Aug 18, 2024 LaLiga
Mallorca vs Real Madrid
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mallorca Compare
Top Goalscorer Morlanes M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Muriqi V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Real Madrid Compare
Top Goalscorer Eder Militao
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mallorca 66 / 100
Real Madrid 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mallorca Real Madrid
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick MAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mallorca has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Attacking prowess: Mallorca scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Real Madrid has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Mallorca VS Real Madrid
2 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Mallorca
(Home) 08 Aug
Mallorca
1 : 1 Elversberg
05 Aug
Mallorca
3 : 0 PSG
30 Jul
Mallorca
4 : 2 Al Ittihad
25 Jul
Mallorca
3 : 0 Al Fateh
23 May
Mallorca
3 : 0 Real Oviedo
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Mallorca
1 : 1 Elversberg
05 Aug
Mallorca
3 : 0 PSG
30 Jul
Mallorca
4 : 2 Al Ittihad
25 Jul
Mallorca
3 : 0 Al Fateh
23 May
Mallorca
3 : 0 Real Oviedo
Page 1 of 4
Real Madrid
(Away) 08 Aug
Ferencvaros
1 : 2 Real Madrid
01 Aug
Real Madrid
2 : 2 Fiorentina
28 Jul
Real Madrid
4 : 1 Leganes
23 May
Real Madrid
4 : 2 Ath Bilbao
17 May
Sevilla
0 : 1 Real Madrid
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Ferencvaros
1 : 2 Real Madrid
17 May
Sevilla
0 : 1 Real Madrid
10 May
Barcelona
2 : 0 Real Madrid
03 May
Espanyol
0 : 2 Real Madrid
24 Apr
Betis
1 : 1 Real Madrid
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | 95:36 | 94 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 77:35 | 86 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 72:46 | 72 |
| 4 | Atl. Madrid | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 62:44 | 69 |
| 5 | Betis | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 59:48 | 60 |
| 6 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 53:48 | 54 |
| 7 | Getafe | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 32:38 | 51 |
| 8 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 41:44 | 50 |
| 9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 46:55 | 49 |
| 10 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 59:61 | 46 |
| 11 | Espanyol | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 43:55 | 46 |
| 12 | Ath Bilbao | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 43:58 | 45 |
| 13 | Sevilla | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 46:60 | 43 |
| 14 | Alaves | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 44:56 | 43 |
| 15 | Elche | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 49:57 | 43 |
| 16 | Levante | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:61 | 42 |
| 17 | Osasuna | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44:50 | 42 |
| 18 | Mallorca | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:57 | 42 |
| 19 | Girona | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 39:55 | 41 |
| 20 | Real Oviedo | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 26:60 | 29 |
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 (Main)
