Sport Picks

Spain

LaLiga 2025/2026 Estadi Mallorca Son Moix

Mallorca

3 - 0

Real Oviedo

Our Tip

Match Events

37'

Cazorla S.

42'

Torre P.

Assist: Maffeo P.

46'

Sub

Fores A. In: Hassan H.

Out: Fores A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The LaLiga 2025/2026 game between Mallorca and Real Oviedo finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mallorca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Mallorca

Draws

Real Oviedo

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mallorca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Mallorca come out ahead of Real Oviedo on wins alone.
Mallorca are the model's pick here, at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 13%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%

Mallorca Clean Sheet 20%

Real Oviedo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mallorca	Real Oviedo
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	10	4
Draws	6	11
Losses	14	15
Goals Scored	1.38	1
Goals Conceded	1.25	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 LaLiga

Mallorca vs Real Oviedo

Possession: 50% - 42% Cards: 0 - 3

3:0

Dec 5, 2025 LaLiga

Real Oviedo vs Mallorca

Possession: 49% - 41% Cards: 1 - 1

0:0

Mar 20, 2021 LaLiga2

Mallorca vs Real Oviedo

Possession: 50% - 59% Cards: 3 - 1

0:0

Jan 3, 2021 LaLiga2

Real Oviedo vs Mallorca

Possession: 48% - 57% Cards: 4 - 1

2:2

Mar 9, 2019 LaLiga2

Mallorca vs Real Oviedo

Possession: 51% - 59% Cards: 1 - 3

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mallorca Compare

Top Goalscorer Torre P.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Morlanes M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Real Oviedo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mallorca 85 / 100

Real Oviedo 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mallorca Real Oviedo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAL Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mallorca scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Real Oviedo conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Mallorca remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mallorca VS Real Oviedo

1.38 Goals Scored 1

1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5

88% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	38	31	1	6	95:36	94
2	Real Madrid	38	27	5	6	77:35	86
3	Villarreal	38	22	6	10	72:46	72
4	Atl. Madrid	38	21	6	11	62:44	69
5	Betis	38	15	15	8	59:48	60
6	Celta Vigo	38	14	12	12	53:48	54
7	Getafe	38	15	6	17	32:38	51
8	Rayo Vallecano	38	12	14	12	41:44	50
9	Valencia	38	13	10	15	46:55	49
10	Real Sociedad	38	11	13	14	59:61	46
11	Espanyol	38	12	10	16	43:55	46
12	Ath Bilbao	38	13	6	19	43:58	45
13	Sevilla	38	12	7	19	46:60	43
14	Alaves	38	11	10	17	44:56	43
15	Elche	38	10	13	15	49:57	43
16	Levante	38	11	9	18	47:61	42
17	Osasuna	38	11	9	18	44:50	42
18	Mallorca	38	11	9	18	47:57	42
19	Girona	38	9	14	15	39:55	41
20	Real Oviedo	38	6	11	21	26:60	29