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Mallorca vs Real Oviedo Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

LaLiga 2025/2026 Estadi Mallorca Son Moix, Palma de Mallorca
Our Tip

Match Events

37'
Cazorla S.
42' Event
Torre P.
Assist: Maffeo P.
46'
Sub
Fores A. In: Hassan H.
Out: Fores A.

AI Match Summary

The LaLiga 2025/2026 game between Mallorca and Real Oviedo finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mallorca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Mallorca
20%
Draws
40%
Real Oviedo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mallorca come out ahead of Real Oviedo on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Mallorca Clean Sheet 20%
Real Oviedo Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mallorca Real Oviedo
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 9
Draws 5 8
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.47 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 LaLiga
Mallorca vs Real Oviedo
3:0
Dec 5, 2025 LaLiga
Real Oviedo vs Mallorca
0:0
Mar 20, 2021 LaLiga2
Mallorca vs Real Oviedo
0:0
Jan 3, 2021 LaLiga2
Real Oviedo vs Mallorca
2:2
Mar 9, 2019 LaLiga2
Mallorca vs Real Oviedo
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mallorca Compare

Top Goalscorer Torre P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Morlanes M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Real Oviedo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mallorca 31 / 100
Real Oviedo 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mallorca Real Oviedo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mallorca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mallorca scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Mallorca stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Real Oviedo conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Mallorca VS Real Oviedo
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mallorca

(Home)
27 Sept
Mallorca
0 : 1
Almeria
19 Sept
Real Sociedad B
0 : 1
Mallorca
13 Sept
Mallorca
2 : 0
Sabadell
05 Sept
Eldense
0 : 0
Mallorca
30 Aug
Mallorca
3 : 0
AD Ceuta
Page 1 of 6

Real Oviedo

(Away)
27 Sept
Real Oviedo
2 : 0
Gijon
20 Sept
Sabadell
3 : 1
Real Oviedo
13 Sept
Valladolid
0 : 3
Real Oviedo
06 Sept
Real Oviedo
0 : 0
Burgos CF
29 Aug
Albacete
0 : 1
Real Oviedo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona 38 31 1 6 95:36 94
2 Real Madrid 38 27 5 6 77:35 86
3 Villarreal 38 22 6 10 72:46 72
4 Atl. Madrid 38 21 6 11 62:44 69
5 Betis 38 15 15 8 59:48 60
6 Celta Vigo 38 14 12 12 53:48 54
7 Getafe 38 15 6 17 32:38 51
8 Rayo Vallecano 38 12 14 12 41:44 50
9 Valencia 38 13 10 15 46:55 49
10 Real Sociedad 38 11 13 14 59:61 46
11 Espanyol 38 12 10 16 43:55 46
12 Ath Bilbao 38 13 6 19 43:58 45
13 Sevilla 38 12 7 19 46:60 43
14 Alaves 38 11 10 17 44:56 43
15 Elche 38 10 13 15 49:57 43
16 Levante 38 11 9 18 47:61 42
17 Osasuna 38 11 9 18 44:50 42
18 Mallorca 38 11 9 18 47:57 42
19 Girona 38 9 14 15 39:55 41
20 Real Oviedo 38 6 11 21 26:60 29
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 (Main)