Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Malmo FF vs AIK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Eleda Stadion, Malmö
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Gustafsson S. In: Mujanic A.
Out: Gustafsson S.
62'
Haksabanovic S.
62'
Thychosen M.

AI Match Summary

The Allsvenskan game between Malmo FF and AIK finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Malmo FF
30%
Draws
29%
AIK
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Malmo FF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Malmo FF come out ahead of AIK on wins alone.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Malmo FF taking it.
  • Regular Allsvenskan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Malmo FF Clean Sheet 20%
AIK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malmo FF AIK
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 4 8
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.71 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2026 Allsvenskan
Malmo FF vs AIK
0:0
Apr 27, 2026 Allsvenskan
AIK vs Malmo FF
0:1
May 22, 2025 Allsvenskan
Malmo FF vs AIK
0:0
Apr 14, 2025 Allsvenskan
AIK vs Malmo FF
0:0
Sep 15, 2024 Allsvenskan
AIK vs Malmo FF
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malmo FF 49 / 100
AIK 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malmo FF AIK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malmo FF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malmo FF found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

AIK has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Malmo FF remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 0.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Malmo FF VS AIK
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Malmo FF

(Home)
01 Nov
Malmo FF
1 : 2
Hammarby
28 Oct
Halmstad
0 : 3
Malmo FF
23 Oct
Elfsborg
0 : 0
Malmo FF
18 Oct
Malmo FF
0 : 1
Hacken
12 Oct
Malmo FF
1 : 0
Kalmar
Page 1 of 6

AIK

(Away)
02 Nov
GAIS
2 : 1
AIK
27 Oct
AIK
2 : 2
Elfsborg
24 Oct
Sirius
1 : 2
AIK
17 Oct
AIK
2 : 2
IFK Goteborg
10 Oct
AIK
5 : 6
Brommapojkarna
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 27 18 4 5 58:34 58
2 Hammarby 27 17 4 6 56:22 55
3 Djurgarden 27 16 4 7 55:25 52
4 Hacken 27 13 10 4 48:30 49
5 Elfsborg 27 12 10 5 41:27 46
6 Vasteras SK 27 13 5 9 40:38 44
7 Malmo FF 27 12 4 11 42:36 40
8 AIK 27 10 8 9 43:47 38
9 IFK Goteborg 27 10 8 9 36:46 38
10 GAIS 27 10 7 10 34:27 37
11 Brommapojkarna 27 9 7 11 39:44 34
12 Mjallby 27 6 9 12 30:43 27
13 Kalmar 27 6 5 16 23:42 23
14 Degerfors 27 5 5 17 22:46 20
15 Orgryte 27 4 7 16 33:60 19
16 Halmstad 27 4 5 18 18:51 17
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)