Sport Picks

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Malmo FF vs Elfsborg

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Eleda Stadion, Malmö
Sun, Jul 26, 2026
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Malmo FF host Elfsborg in the Allsvenskan. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Malmo FF at 1.88 goals for, 2.13 against; Elfsborg at 1.13 for, 1 against. Past meetings favor Malmo FF slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 14, 2025, ending 2:2. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 1.63) point toward Malmo FF. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Malmo FF
6%
Draws
4%
Elfsborg
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Malmo FF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Malmo FF come out ahead of Elfsborg on wins alone.
  • Malmo FF are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Malmo FF Clean Sheet 14%
Elfsborg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malmo FF Elfsborg
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 3 7
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2025 Allsvenskan
Elfsborg vs Malmo FF
2:2
Apr 7, 2025 Allsvenskan
Malmo FF vs Elfsborg
2:1
Mar 10, 2025 Svenska Cupen
Malmo FF vs Elfsborg
1:0
May 28, 2024 Allsvenskan
Malmo FF vs Elfsborg
2:1
May 5, 2024 Allsvenskan
Elfsborg vs Malmo FF
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malmo FF 84 / 100
Elfsborg 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malmo FF Elfsborg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malmo FF's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Elfsborg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Malmo FF stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Malmo FF VS Elfsborg
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 25%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Malmo FF

(Home)
12 Jul
Malmo FF
4 : 0
IFK Goteborg
04 Jul
Degerfors
0 : 1
Malmo FF
26 Jun
Malmo FF
2 : 2
Midtjylland
30 May
Malmo FF
5 : 2
Halmstad
24 May
Malmo FF
2 : 3
Vasteras SK
Page 1 of 6

Elfsborg

(Away)
12 Jul
GAIS
1 : 0
Elfsborg
05 Jul
Elfsborg
1 : 2
Hammarby
28 Jun
Fredrikstad
0 : 0
Elfsborg
29 May
Orgryte
2 : 2
Elfsborg
25 May
Elfsborg
1 : 1
Hacken
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sirius12102033:1532
2Hammarby1372428:1423
3Hacken1255225:2220
4Djurgarden1161426:1519
5GAIS1354418:1219
6Malmo FF1261525:2019
7Elfsborg1346317:1418
8Vasteras SK1253422:2318
9AIK1253416:1818
10Mjallby1244419:1716
11Brommapojkarna1244417:1916
12Kalmar1241714:1713
13Degerfors1224612:1910
14IFK Goteborg1224614:2810
15Orgryte1223714:319
16Halmstad1213810:266
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)