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Malmo FF vs Kalmar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Eleda Stadion, Malmö
Mon, Oct 12, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Malmo FF host Kalmar in the Allsvenskan. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Malmo FF have averaged 1.71 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against Kalmar's 1.45 scored and 1.41 conceded. Past meetings favor Malmo FF slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 20, 2026, ending 2:2. xG projections (1.81 - 1.06) back Malmo FF to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Malmo FF
20%
Draws
7%
Kalmar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Malmo FF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Malmo FF carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Malmo FF taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Malmo FF Clean Sheet 20%
Kalmar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malmo FF Kalmar
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 10
Draws 5 6
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.71 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2026 Allsvenskan
Kalmar vs Malmo FF
2:2
Mar 20, 2026 Club Friendly
Malmo FF vs Kalmar
1:1
Aug 24, 2024 Allsvenskan
Kalmar vs Malmo FF
2:2
May 24, 2024 Allsvenskan
Malmo FF vs Kalmar
5:0
Oct 8, 2023 Allsvenskan
Kalmar vs Malmo FF
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malmo FF 85 / 100
Kalmar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malmo FF Kalmar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malmo FF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Malmo FF scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Kalmar let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Malmo FF remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Malmo FF VS Kalmar
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Malmo FF

(Home)
19 Sept
Vasteras SK
2 : 0
Malmo FF
13 Sept
Malmo FF
4 : 1
Orgryte
07 Sept
Malmo FF
0 : 0
AIK
31 Aug
Sirius
0 : 1
Malmo FF
27 Aug
Lindo FF
1 : 5
Malmo FF
Page 1 of 6

Kalmar

(Away)
20 Sept
Kalmar
0 : 5
Hacken
13 Sept
Elfsborg
1 : 0
Kalmar
07 Sept
Kalmar
0 : 1
Djurgarden
29 Aug
Halmstad
1 : 0
Kalmar
23 Aug
Vasteras SK
0 : 0
Kalmar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 22 16 3 3 52:28 51
2 Hammarby 22 13 4 5 49:20 43
3 Djurgarden 22 13 2 7 47:21 41
4 Elfsborg 22 10 7 5 31:22 37
5 Hacken 22 9 9 4 39:30 36
6 Vasteras SK 22 10 5 7 34:35 35
7 Malmo FF 22 10 3 9 37:33 33
8 AIK 22 9 6 7 31:34 33
9 IFK Goteborg 22 9 5 8 31:41 32
10 GAIS 22 8 6 8 28:20 30
11 Brommapojkarna 22 7 6 9 30:36 27
12 Mjallby 22 5 7 10 27:38 22
13 Kalmar 22 5 4 13 21:36 19
14 Degerfors 22 5 4 13 19:34 19
15 Orgryte 22 3 6 13 25:49 15
16 Halmstad 22 3 5 14 16:40 14
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)