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Stadium Background

Malmo FF vs Orgryte

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Eleda Stadion, Malmö
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Sub
Busuladzic K. In: Milosavljevic J.
Out: Busuladzic K.
49'
Sub
Ekblom V. In: Andreasson A.
Out: Ekblom V.
52'
Skogmar A.

AI Match Summary

The Allsvenskan game between Malmo FF and Orgryte finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Malmo FF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Malmo FF
30%
Draws
23%
Orgryte
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Malmo FF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Malmo FF come out ahead of Orgryte on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Malmo FF's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Allsvenskan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Malmo FF Clean Sheet 19%
Orgryte Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malmo FF Orgryte
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 6
Draws 5 8
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.86 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.43 2.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Allsvenskan
Malmo FF vs Orgryte
4:1
Apr 5, 2026 Allsvenskan
Orgryte vs Malmo FF
1:1
Aug 24, 2009 Allsvenskan
Orgryte vs Malmo FF
1:0
Apr 13, 2009 Allsvenskan
Malmo FF vs Orgryte
3:0
Aug 28, 2006 Allsvenskan
Malmo FF vs Orgryte
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Malmo FF Compare

Top Goalscorer Milosavljevic J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rosengren O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Orgryte Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malmo FF 85 / 100
Orgryte 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malmo FF Orgryte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malmo FF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 8:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Malmo FF scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Orgryte has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Malmo FF went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Malmo FF VS Orgryte
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Malmo FF

(Home)
13 Sept
Malmo FF
4 : 1
Orgryte
07 Sept
Malmo FF
0 : 0
AIK
31 Aug
Sirius
0 : 1
Malmo FF
27 Aug
Lindo FF
1 : 5
Malmo FF
24 Aug
Malmo FF
0 : 3
Djurgarden
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Orgryte

(Away)
13 Sept
Malmo FF
4 : 1
Orgryte
06 Sept
Orgryte
1 : 1
Hammarby
30 Aug
IFK Goteborg
1 : 0
Orgryte
25 Aug
Eskilsminne
1 : 3
Orgryte
22 Aug
Orgryte
1 : 1
Halmstad
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 21 15 3 3 50:27 48
2 Djurgarden 21 13 2 6 46:19 41
3 Hammarby 21 12 4 5 48:20 40
4 Elfsborg 21 9 7 5 29:21 34
5 Malmo FF 21 10 3 8 37:31 33
6 Hacken 21 8 9 4 34:30 33
7 AIK 21 9 6 6 30:32 33
8 Vasteras SK 21 9 5 7 32:35 32
9 IFK Goteborg 21 8 5 8 30:41 29
10 GAIS 21 7 6 8 25:20 27
11 Brommapojkarna 21 7 6 8 30:35 27
12 Mjallby 21 5 7 9 27:35 22
13 Kalmar 21 5 4 12 21:31 19
14 Degerfors 21 5 4 12 19:33 19
15 Orgryte 21 3 6 12 24:47 15
16 Halmstad 21 2 5 14 14:39 11
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)