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Malmo FF vs Orgryte - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Eleda Stadion, Malmö
Malmo FF Logo

Malmo FF

4 - 1
FT
Orgryte Logo

Orgryte

Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Sub
Busuladzic K. In: Milosavljevic J.
Out: Busuladzic K.
49'
Sub
Ekblom V. In: Andreasson A.
Out: Ekblom V.
52'
Skogmar A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Allsvenskan game between Malmo FF and Orgryte finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Malmo FF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Malmo FF
20%
Draws
29%
Orgryte
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Malmo FF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Malmo FF come out ahead of Orgryte on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Malmo FF's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Allsvenskan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Malmo FF Clean Sheet 20%
Orgryte Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malmo FF Orgryte
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 5
Draws 5 7
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.69 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.31 2.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Allsvenskan
Malmo FF vs Orgryte
4:1
Apr 5, 2026 Allsvenskan
Orgryte vs Malmo FF
1:1
Aug 24, 2009 Allsvenskan
Orgryte vs Malmo FF
1:0
Apr 13, 2009 Allsvenskan
Malmo FF vs Orgryte
3:0
Aug 28, 2006 Allsvenskan
Malmo FF vs Orgryte
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Malmo FF Compare

Top Goalscorer Milosavljevic J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rosengren O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Orgryte Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malmo FF 67 / 100
Orgryte 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malmo FF Orgryte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malmo FF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 8:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Malmo FF scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Orgryte has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Malmo FF went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Malmo FF VS Orgryte
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Malmo FF

(Home)
01 Nov
Malmo FF
1 : 2
Hammarby
28 Oct
Halmstad
0 : 3
Malmo FF
23 Oct
Elfsborg
0 : 0
Malmo FF
18 Oct
Malmo FF
0 : 1
Hacken
12 Oct
Malmo FF
1 : 0
Kalmar
Page 1 of 6

Orgryte

(Away)
01 Nov
Elfsborg
2 : 1
Orgryte
29 Oct
Orgryte
1 : 2
Mjallby
24 Oct
Djurgarden
2 : 2
Orgryte
18 Oct
Orgryte
4 : 2
GAIS
11 Oct
Hacken
3 : 0
Orgryte
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 27 18 4 5 58:34 58
2 Hammarby 27 17 4 6 56:22 55
3 Djurgarden 27 16 4 7 55:25 52
4 Hacken 27 13 10 4 48:30 49
5 Elfsborg 27 12 10 5 41:27 46
6 Vasteras SK 27 13 5 9 40:38 44
7 Malmo FF 27 12 4 11 42:36 40
8 AIK 27 10 8 9 43:47 38
9 IFK Goteborg 27 10 8 9 36:46 38
10 GAIS 27 10 7 10 34:27 37
11 Brommapojkarna 27 9 7 11 39:44 34
12 Mjallby 27 6 9 12 30:43 27
13 Kalmar 27 6 5 16 23:42 23
14 Degerfors 27 5 5 17 22:46 20
15 Orgryte 27 4 7 16 33:60 19
16 Halmstad 27 4 5 18 18:51 17
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)