Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Malmo FF vs Vasteras SK

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Eleda Stadion, Malmö
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Skogmar A.
Assist: Lundbergh T.
36' Event
Magnusson J.
Assist: Gefvert S.
45' Event
Magnusson H.

AI Match Summary

Vasteras SK in this Allsvenskan matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vasteras SK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Malmo FF
28%
Draws
22%
Vasteras SK
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Malmo FF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Malmo FF lately — more wins on the board than Vasteras SK.
  • Win probability leans Malmo FF's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Allsvenskan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Malmo FF Clean Sheet 10%
Vasteras SK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malmo FF Vasteras SK
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 11
Draws 4 6
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.88 1.88
Goals Conceded 2.13 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Allsvenskan
Malmo FF vs Vasteras SK
2:3
Mar 2, 2025 Svenska Cupen
Malmo FF vs Vasteras SK
3:0
Oct 19, 2024 Allsvenskan
Vasteras SK vs Malmo FF
1:1
Apr 20, 2024 Allsvenskan
Malmo FF vs Vasteras SK
1:0
Feb 21, 2021 Svenska Cupen
Malmo FF vs Vasteras SK
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Malmo FF Compare

Top Goalscorer Skogmar A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Botheim E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Vasteras SK Compare

Top Goalscorer Magnusson J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Magnusson H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malmo FF 47 / 100
Vasteras SK 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malmo FF Vasteras SK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malmo FF's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Malmo FF went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Vasteras SK has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Malmo FF VS Vasteras SK
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Malmo FF

(Home)
20 Jul
Kalmar
2 : 2
Malmo FF
12 Jul
Malmo FF
4 : 0
IFK Goteborg
04 Jul
Degerfors
0 : 1
Malmo FF
26 Jun
Malmo FF
2 : 2
Midtjylland
30 May
Malmo FF
5 : 2
Halmstad
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Vasteras SK

(Away)
17 Jul
Mjallby
0 : 0
Vasteras SK
12 Jul
Vasteras SK
2 : 0
Degerfors
04 Jul
Halmstad
1 : 3
Vasteras SK
28 Jun
AIK
3 : 2
Vasteras SK
31 May
Vasteras SK
4 : 5
IFK Goteborg
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sirius13112036:1635
2Hammarby1482432:1426
3Hacken1365227:2223
4AIK1363418:1821
5Djurgarden1262426:1520
6Malmo FF1362527:2220
7GAIS1454518:1419
8Vasteras SK1354422:2319
9Elfsborg1446418:1718
10Mjallby1345419:1717
11Brommapojkarna1344518:2116
12Kalmar1342716:1914
13IFK Goteborg1334616:2913
14Degerfors1324712:2310
15Orgryte1324714:3110
16Halmstad1313910:286
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)