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Malmo FF W vs AIK W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Women Eleda Stadion, Malmö
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Malmo FF W host AIK W in the Allsvenskan Women. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Malmo FF W at 1.93 goals for, 0.76 against; AIK W at 1.54 for, 1.29 against. Past meetings favor Malmo FF W slightly — 2-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 23, 2026, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 1.00, favoring Malmo FF W. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Malmo FF W
15%
Draws
42%
AIK W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Malmo FF W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • AIK W haven't matched Malmo FF W's recent run of results.
  • 43% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Malmo FF W have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Malmo FF W Clean Sheet 20%
AIK W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malmo FF W AIK W
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 16 14
Draws 7 6
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.93 1.54
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Allsvenskan Women
AIK W vs Malmo FF W
2:2
Aug 17, 2025 Allsvenskan Women
Malmo FF W vs AIK W
2:0
Apr 19, 2025 Allsvenskan Women
AIK W vs Malmo FF W
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malmo FF W 31 / 100
AIK W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malmo FF W AIK W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malmo FF W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malmo FF W scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

AIK W let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Malmo FF W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Malmo FF W VS AIK W
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Malmo FF W

(Home)
04 Oct
Malmo FF W
1 : 0
Rosengard W
30 Sept
Malmo FF W
3 : 0
St. Polten W
27 Sept
IF Brommapojkarna W
3 : 1
Malmo FF W
23 Sept
St. Polten W
0 : 2
Malmo FF W
18 Sept
Malmo FF W
3 : 0
Djurgarden W
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AIK W

(Away)
04 Oct
Djurgarden W
2 : 1
AIK W
26 Sept
AIK W
3 : 0
Vaxjo DFF W
22 Sept
KIF Orebro W
0 : 2
AIK W
19 Sept
AIK W
2 : 1
Hammarby W
13 Sept
Pitea W
0 : 1
AIK W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hacken W 21 19 1 1 70:13 58
2 Hammarby W 21 17 2 2 51:10 53
3 Malmo FF W 21 11 6 4 40:14 39
4 AIK W 21 10 4 7 30:29 34
5 Kristianstad W 21 9 5 7 35:32 32
6 Vittsjo W 21 9 5 7 29:26 32
7 IF Brommapojkarna W 21 9 2 10 28:36 29
8 Eskilstuna United W 21 8 3 10 18:27 27
9 Pitea W 21 6 6 9 24:30 24
10 Djurgarden W 21 7 3 11 27:34 24
11 Rosengard W 21 5 5 11 21:26 20
12 Vaxjo DFF W 21 5 3 13 23:42 18
13 Norrkoping W 21 3 8 10 18:36 17
14 IK Uppsala Fotboll W 21 1 3 17 14:73 6
Relegation - Allsvenskan Women (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Elitettan Women 2027 (Main)