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Malmo FF W vs Ajax W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Europa Cup Women Eleda Stadion, Malmö
Wed, Nov 11, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the UEFA Europa Cup Women. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Malmo FF W at 1.93 goals for, 0.76 against; Ajax W at 2.04 for, 0.93 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.81 vs 1.69, favoring Malmo FF W. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Malmo FF W
15%
Draws
42%
Ajax W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Malmo FF W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ajax W lately — more wins on the board than Malmo FF W.
  • Ajax W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Ajax W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Malmo FF W Clean Sheet 13%
Ajax W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malmo FF W Ajax W
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 16 17
Draws 7 4
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.93 2.04
Goals Conceded 0.76 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malmo FF W 10 / 100
Ajax W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malmo FF W Ajax W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ajax W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malmo FF W found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Malmo FF W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Ajax W let in goals in 57% of their last 28 matches.

Away concern: Ajax W has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Malmo FF W VS Ajax W
2.38 Goals Scored 2.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Malmo FF W

(Home)
04 Oct
Malmo FF W
1 : 0
Rosengard W
30 Sept
Malmo FF W
3 : 0
St. Polten W
27 Sept
IF Brommapojkarna W
3 : 1
Malmo FF W
23 Sept
St. Polten W
0 : 2
Malmo FF W
18 Sept
Malmo FF W
3 : 0
Djurgarden W
Page 1 of 6

Ajax W

(Away)
04 Oct
Feyenoord W
1 : 4
Ajax W
30 Sept
Aktobe W
1 : 0
Ajax W
26 Sept
Ajax W
7 : 1
Den Haag W
23 Sept
Ajax W
8 : 0
Aktobe W
19 Sept
Ajax W
5 : 1
AZ Alkmaar W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
PSV W -
Eintracht Frankfurt W -
Real Sociedad W -
Fenerbahce W -
Brann W -
Czarni Sosnowiec W -
Sparta Prague W -
Torreense W -
Myjava W -
Hammarby W -
Ajax W -
Malmo FF W -
Rosenborg W -
Brondby W -
Wolfsburg W -
Feyenoord W -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -