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Malmo FF W vs Pitea W

Sweden Sweden

Svenska Cupen Women 2025/2026 Eleda Stadion, Malmö
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Skoog T.
46'
Sub
Martensson A. In: Kosola K.
Out: Martensson A.
50'
Ekblom M.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-3, with Pitea W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Malmo FF W
30%
Draws
16%
Pitea W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Malmo FF W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Malmo FF W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Malmo FF W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Malmo FF W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Pitea W, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Malmo FF W Clean Sheet 68%
Pitea W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malmo FF W Pitea W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 12
Draws 5 6
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 2.14 1.41
Goals Conceded 1 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 Allsvenskan Women
Malmo FF W vs Pitea W
0:0
Feb 15, 2026 Svenska Cupen Women
Malmo FF W vs Pitea W
2:3
Nov 2, 2025 Allsvenskan Women
Malmo FF W vs Pitea W
1:2
Jun 15, 2025 Allsvenskan Women
Pitea W vs Malmo FF W
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Malmo FF W Compare

Top Goalscorer Skoog T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Pitea W Compare

Top Goalscorer Matsubara S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Edlund C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malmo FF W 95 / 100
Pitea W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malmo FF W Pitea W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malmo FF W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malmo FF W's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Pitea W conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Malmo FF W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Malmo FF W VS Pitea W
1.75 Goals Scored 0.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Malmo FF W

(Home)
15 Aug
IK Uppsala Fotboll W
0 : 6
Malmo FF W
08 Aug
Eintracht Frankfurt W
2 : 0
Malmo FF W
05 Aug
Valerenga W
0 : 1
Malmo FF W
31 Jul
Malmo FF W
0 : 0
Pitea W
27 Jul
Vittsjo W
1 : 0
Malmo FF W
Page 1 of 6

Pitea W

(Away)
16 Aug
Hammarby W
5 : 0
Pitea W
09 Aug
Pitea W
1 : 4
Hacken W
31 Jul
Malmo FF W
0 : 0
Pitea W
25 Jun
Pitea W
1 : 1
Hammarby W
18 Jun
Eskilstuna United W
2 : 0
Pitea W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hacken W 3 3 0 0 17:0 9
2 AIK W 3 2 0 1 3:4 6
3 Linkoping W 3 1 0 2 4:4 3
4 Gefle W 3 0 0 3 1:17 0
Promotion - Svenska Cupen Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hammarby W 3 2 1 0 9:2 7
2 Rosengard W 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
3 Vaxjo DFF W 3 0 2 1 4:7 2
4 Vittsjo W 3 0 2 1 3:6 2
Promotion - Svenska Cupen Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kristianstad W 3 2 1 0 6:3 7
2 Pitea W 3 2 0 1 9:5 6
3 Malmo FF W 3 1 0 2 7:7 3
4 Umea W 3 0 1 2 1:8 1
Promotion - Svenska Cupen Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Djurgarden W 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 Norrkoping W 3 2 0 1 5:5 6
3 IF Brommapojkarna W 3 1 0 2 7:2 3
4 Alingsas W 3 0 0 3 1:10 0
Promotion - Svenska Cupen Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)