Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Malole vs Simba

DR Congo DR Congo

Ligue 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Malole and Simba finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Malole.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Malole
30%
Draws
29%
Simba
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Malole

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Simba come out ahead of Malole on wins alone.
  • Malole are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Malole Clean Sheet 16%
Simba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malole Simba
Matches Played 30 40
Wins 9 15
Draws 6 11
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.03 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.2 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2026 Ligue 1
Simba vs Malole
3:1
Dec 22, 2025 Ligue 1
Malole vs Simba
1:0
Mar 23, 2025 Ligue 1
Malole vs Simba
1:0
Dec 10, 2024 Ligue 1
Simba vs Malole
5:0
Oct 19, 2024 Ligue 1
Malole vs Simba
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malole 66 / 100
Simba 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malole Simba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malole Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Simba conceded in 70% of 40 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Malole has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Malole's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Malole VS Simba
2 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 13%
33% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Malole

(Home)
22 Apr
Malole
1 : 2
Sanga Balende
15 Apr
Malole
3 : 0
Blessing
02 Apr
Don Bosco
4 : 2
Malole
29 Mar
Malole
3 : 1
Tanganyika
25 Mar
Saint-Luc
1 : 1
Malole
Page 1 of 6

Simba

(Away)
20 Jun
Simba
2 : 1
AS Maniema
17 Jun
Simba
0 : 0
AS Vita Club
14 Jun
Aigles du Congo
1 : 0
Simba
10 Jun
Celeste
1 : 1
Simba
06 Jun
Simba
0 : 3
St Eloi Lupopo
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazembe 30 23 4 3 57:12 73
2 St Eloi Lupopo 30 19 6 5 55:27 63
3 Don Bosco 30 16 8 6 43:24 56
4 Simba 30 14 8 8 33:27 50
5 Manika 30 12 12 6 31:20 48
6 Tanganyika 30 13 5 12 38:32 44
7 Lubumbashi Sport 30 11 10 9 27:26 43
8 Blessing 30 11 7 12 33:31 40
9 Sanga Balende 30 10 6 14 25:34 36
10 Saint-Luc 30 9 8 13 21:33 35
11 Malole 30 9 6 15 34:39 33
12 New Soger 30 9 6 15 29:40 33
13 Tshinkunku 30 7 10 13 23:41 31
14 Groupe Bazano 30 7 9 14 26:38 30
15 Tshikas 30 6 10 14 25:40 28
16 US Panda 30 5 1 24 17:59 16
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Maniema 27 13 13 1 38:10 52
2 AS Vita Club 27 13 11 3 35:13 50
3 Aigles du Congo 26 13 9 4 32:16 48
4 Dauphins Noirs 26 13 6 7 35:20 45
5 Celeste 26 12 8 6 36:13 44
6 Etoile de Kivu 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
7 Motema Pembe 26 7 14 5 33:25 35
8 Anges Verts 26 6 11 9 26:32 29
9 New Jack 26 6 11 9 20:26 29
10 AC Rangers 27 7 8 12 21:35 29
11 FC MK Etancheite 26 6 8 12 15:35 26
12 FC Renaissance 27 4 13 10 21:40 25
13 OC Renaissance 26 4 10 12 14:33 22
14 Bukavu Dawa 26 2 8 16 10:37 14
15 Martin Pecheur 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)