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Malta U19 W vs Lebanon U19 W

World World

Friendly International Women 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Malta U19 W play Lebanon U19 W in the Friendly International Women 2025. Lebanon U19 W are favorites here. Recently, Malta U19 W averaged 1.3 goals scored and 3.2 conceded. Lebanon U19 W averaged 2.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Malta U19 W won 0, Lebanon U19 W won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Oct 24, 2025 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Malta U19 W and 2.75 for Lebanon U19 W. This points to a Lebanon U19 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Malta U19 W
25%
Draws
60%
Lebanon U19 W
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Lebanon U19 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Malta U19 W picked up more points recently compared to Lebanon U19 W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 2.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 74%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 91%
Over 2.5 Goals 74%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
Malta U19 W Clean Sheet 10%
Lebanon U19 W Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 82%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malta U19 W Lebanon U19 W
Matches Played 30 2
Wins 9 1
Draws 4 1
Losses 17 0
Goals Scored 1.3 2.5
Goals Conceded 3.2 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 24, 2025 Friendly International Women
Malta U19 W vs Lebanon U19 W
1:1
Oct 22, 2025 Friendly International Women
Malta U19 W vs Lebanon U19 W
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Malta U19 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Celeste N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Lebanon U19 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lazkani M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malta U19 W 16 / 100
Lebanon U19 W 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malta U19 W Lebanon U19 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lebanon U19 W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Lebanon U19 W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.47
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Malta U19 W attacking → ← attacking Lebanon U19 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malta U19 W scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Lebanon U19 W let in goals in 100% of their last 2 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Malta U19 W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Lebanon U19 W lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 4
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.50
3.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50