Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Malta U21 vs Latvia U21

Europe Europe

Euro U21 Centenary Stadium, Ta' Qali
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Sub
Letherby D. In: Grech J.
Out: Letherby D.
46'
Sub
Scicluna K. In: Vassallo J.
Out: Scicluna K.
46'
Sub
Anisjko D. In: Bocs R.
Out: Anisjko D.

AI Match Summary

Latvia U21 in this Euro U21 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Latvia U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Malta U21
6%
Draws
90%
Latvia U21
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Latvia U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Latvia U21 have won more games recently than Malta U21.
  • Win probability leans Latvia U21's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Malta U21 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Malta U21 Clean Sheet 15%
Latvia U21 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malta U21 Latvia U21
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 10
Draws 3 7
Losses 23 13
Goals Scored 0.5 0.5
Goals Conceded 2.63 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2025 Euro U21
Malta U21 vs Latvia U21
0:1
Oct 7, 2016 Euro U21
Malta U21 vs Latvia U21
1:0
Jun 16, 2015 Euro U21
Latvia U21 vs Malta U21
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Malta U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Latvia U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Cesnieks K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malta U21 10 / 100
Latvia U21 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malta U21 Latvia U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LAT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Latvia U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.67 goals.

Malta U21 scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Latvia U21's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Malta U21 VS Latvia U21
0.5 Goals Scored 0.5
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Malta U21

(Home)
04 Jun
Moldova U21
3 : 0
Malta U21
31 Mar
Georgia U21
4 : 1
Malta U21
27 Mar
Greece U21
5 : 0
Malta U21
18 Nov
Malta U21
0 : 1
Latvia U21
14 Nov
Germany U21
6 : 0
Malta U21
Page 1 of 6

Latvia U21

(Away)
09 Jun
Lithuania U21
2 : 2
Latvia U21
05 Jun
Latvia U21
1 : 1
Estonia U21
31 Mar
Latvia U21
1 : 3
Northern Ireland U21
27 Mar
Georgia U21
1 : 1
Latvia U21
18 Nov
Malta U21
0 : 1
Latvia U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Spain U21770026:221
2Finland U21751126:216
3Romania U2174128:413
4Kosovo U21722312:68
5Cyprus U2171065:243
6San Marino U2170070:390
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portugal U21761028:019
2Czech Republic U21742115:314
3Scotland U21832318:1011
4Bulgaria U2173227:611
5Azerbaijan U2171335:186
6Gibraltar U2180081:370
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1France U21651021:416
2Switzerland U21742110:514
3Iceland U21732214:911
4Faroe Islands U2173046:139
5Luxembourg U2161147:144
6Estonia U2170258:212
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1England U21761018:219
2Slovakia U21751115:1016
3Ireland U2173227:1011
4Andorra U2182156:107
5Moldova U2181259:175
6Kazakhstan U2171154:104
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Poland U21880023:224
2Italy U21870125:521
3Montenegro U21831411:1410
4Sweden U21831410:1910
5North Macedonia U2182067:176
6Armenia U2180084:230
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Germany U21760122:418
2Greece U21760121:418
3Northern Ireland U2173138:1110
4Georgia U21723212:99
5Latvia U2171244:125
6Malta U2170071:280
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Norway U21540112:412
2Bosnia & Herzegovina U2161412:17
3Israel U2161416:77
4Netherlands U2151227:85
5Slovenia U2161233:105
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Croatia U21541011:113
2Turkey U2163217:611
3Ukraine U21622210:78
4Hungary U2150326:93
5Lithuania U2160243:142
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 9)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Belgium U21531111:210
2Austria U2163127:710
3Denmark U21531112:510
4Wales U2162046:206
5Belarus U2161147:94
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)