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Malta vs Andorra - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Ta'Qali National Stadium, Ta' Qali
Malta Logo

Malta

1 - 0
FT
Andorra Logo

Andorra

Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Pepe E.
46'
Sub
Pepe E. In: Mentz G.
Out: Pepe E.
49' Event
Teuma T.
Assist: Chouaref I.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Malta in this UEFA Nations League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Malta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

74%
Malta
20%
Draws
6%
Andorra
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Malta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Malta lately — more wins on the board than Andorra.
  • 74% — that's where the model lands on Malta taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Malta here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Malta Clean Sheet 68%
Andorra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malta Andorra
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 2
Draws 6 6
Losses 14 22
Goals Scored 0.86 0.3
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 UEFA Nations League
Malta vs Andorra
1:0
Sep 24, 2026 UEFA Nations League
Andorra vs Malta
1:2
Nov 19, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Malta vs Andorra
0:0
Sep 10, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Andorra vs Malta
0:1
Nov 14, 2020 UEFA Nations League
Malta vs Andorra
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Malta Compare

Top Goalscorer Teuma T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Andorra Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malta 95 / 100
Andorra 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malta Andorra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Andorra has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Malta has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Andorra lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Malta VS Andorra
1.25 Goals Scored 0.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Malta

(Home)
04 Oct
Malta
1 : 0
Andorra
01 Oct
Malta
1 : 1
Gibraltar
27 Sept
Malta
2 : 0
Liechtenstein
24 Sept
Andorra
1 : 2
Malta
05 Jun
Azerbaijan
0 : 2
Malta
Page 1 of 6

Andorra

(Away)
04 Oct
Malta
1 : 0
Andorra
30 Sept
Lithuania
3 : 0
Andorra
27 Sept
Gibraltar
0 : 0
Andorra
24 Sept
Andorra
1 : 2
Malta
07 Jun
Kosovo
3 : 0
Andorra
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malta 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
2 Gibraltar 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
3 Andorra 3 0 1 2 1:3 1
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League C)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Azerbaijan 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
2 Lithuania 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
3 Liechtenstein 2 0 1 1 0:2 1
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League C)