Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Malta vs Moldova

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 Ta'Qali National Stadium, Ta' Qali
Malta Logo

Malta

1 - 0
FT
Moldova Logo

Moldova

Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Shaw K.
30'
Reabciuk O.
39'
Mentz G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Malta in this UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Malta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Malta
20%
Draws
32%
Moldova
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Malta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Moldova average 1.03 goals a game right now, well clear of Malta's 0.69.
  • Win probability leans Malta's way, sitting at 60%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Malta Clean Sheet 68%
Moldova Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malta Moldova
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 5 8
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 0.69 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.93 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Malta vs Moldova
1:0
Sep 7, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Moldova vs Malta
2:0
Jun 4, 2018 Friendly International
Moldova vs Malta
0:0
Mar 24, 2016 Friendly International
Malta vs Moldova
0:0
Oct 17, 2007 Euro
Malta vs Moldova
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malta 68 / 100
Moldova 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malta Moldova

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Moldova conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Moldova has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Malta scored in 48% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Malta VS Moldova
1 Goals Scored 0.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 3.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Malta

(Home)
05 Jun
Azerbaijan
0 : 2
Malta
01 Jun
Slovakia
2 : 1
Malta
31 Mar
Luxembourg
3 : 0
Malta
26 Mar
Malta
0 : 2
Luxembourg
17 Nov
Malta
2 : 3
Poland
Page 1 of 6

Moldova

(Away)
09 Jun
Armenia
1 : 1
Moldova
05 Jun
Moldova
2 : 2
Bulgaria
30 Mar
Cyprus
3 : 2
Moldova
26 Mar
Moldova
0 : 2
Lithuania
16 Nov
Israel
4 : 1
Moldova
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Marino 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
2 Gibraltar 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
3 Liechtenstein 4 0 2 2 3:6 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League C)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League C/D - Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Moldova 4 3 0 1 5:1 9
2 Malta 4 2 1 1 2:2 7
3 Andorra 4 0 1 3 0:4 1
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League C)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League C/D - Relegation)