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Malta W vs Luxembourg W Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Friendly International Women
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Malta W host Luxembourg W in the Friendly International Women. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Malta W at 1.03 goals for, 1.87 against; Luxembourg W at 1.52 for, 2.83 against. Past meetings favor Malta W slightly — 5-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 20, 2023, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 2.50 vs 1.81, favoring Malta W. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Malta W
15%
Draws
85%
Luxembourg W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Luxembourg W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Malta W have managed 1.03 goals a game lately — Luxembourg W are scoring more at 1.52.
  • 0% — that's where the model lands on Malta W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
  • Malta W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Malta W Clean Sheet 11%
Luxembourg W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malta W Luxembourg W
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 9 9
Draws 5 6
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1.03 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.87 2.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2023 Friendly International Women
Malta W vs Luxembourg W
3:1
Feb 17, 2023 Friendly International Women
Malta W vs Luxembourg W
2:1
Apr 6, 2013 World Cup Women
Malta W vs Luxembourg W
6:0
Apr 5, 2012 Friendly International Women
Luxembourg W vs Malta W
2:3
Nov 24, 2011 Friendly International Women
Malta W vs Luxembourg W
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malta W 83 / 100
Luxembourg W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malta W Luxembourg W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malta W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Luxembourg W has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Luxembourg W's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Malta W scored in 58% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Malta W VS Luxembourg W
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
2.88 Goals Conceded 4.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Malta W

(Home)
09 Jun
Malta W
0 : 3
Turkey W
05 Jun
Switzerland W
6 : 1
Malta W
18 Apr
Malta W
2 : 4
Northern Ireland W
14 Apr
Northern Ireland W
4 : 0
Malta W
07 Mar
Malta W
1 : 4
Switzerland W
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Luxembourg W

(Away)
09 Jun
Luxembourg W
0 : 7
Belgium W
05 Jun
Belgium W
6 : 0
Luxembourg W
18 Apr
Luxembourg W
1 : 3
Israel W
14 Apr
Israel W
6 : 0
Luxembourg W
07 Mar
Scotland W
7 : 0
Luxembourg W
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