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Malut United vs FC Bhayangkara

Indonesia Indonesia

Super League Gelora Kie Raha Stadium, Ternate
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Nilson Junior
22' Event
Sidibe M.
Assist: Mbarga P.
40'
Sub
Nilson Junior In: Cardoso L.
Out: Nilson Junior

AI Match Summary

FC Bhayangkara in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Bhayangkara.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Malut United
44%
Draws
20%
FC Bhayangkara
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FC Bhayangkara lately — more wins on the board than Malut United.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Malut United Clean Sheet 11%
FC Bhayangkara Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malut United FC Bhayangkara
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 15
Draws 6 3
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 2 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Super League
Malut United vs FC Bhayangkara
1:2
Sep 25, 2025 Super League
FC Bhayangkara vs Malut United
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Malut United Compare

Top Goalscorer da Silva D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

FC Bhayangkara Compare

Top Goalscorer Sidibe M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Moises Gaucho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malut United 35 / 100
FC Bhayangkara 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malut United FC Bhayangkara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malut United found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

FC Bhayangkara's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Malut United stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Malut United VS FC Bhayangkara
2 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Malut United

(Home)
23 May
Borneo
7 : 1
Malut United
16 May
Malut United
1 : 1
Persita
10 May
PSIM Yogyakarta
2 : 0
Malut United
02 May
Malut United
5 : 2
Persis Solo
28 Apr
PSBS Biak Numfor
0 : 7
Malut United
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FC Bhayangkara

(Away)
23 May
FC Bhayangkara
7 : 0
PSBS Biak Numfor
17 May
Bali United
4 : 1
FC Bhayangkara
11 May
FC Bhayangkara
3 : 1
Madura United
04 May
PSM Makassar
2 : 1
FC Bhayangkara
30 Apr
FC Bhayangkara
2 : 4
Persib Bandung
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Persib Bandung34247359:2279
2Borneo34254574:3179
3Persija Jakarta34225765:2971
4Persebaya341610861:3558
5FC Bhayangkara341651353:4553
6Malut United341581168:5353
7Dewa United341651344:3753
8Bali United341491157:4851
9Arema FC341391253:4748
10Persita341361538:3745
11PSIM Yogyakarta3411121143:4445
12Persik Kediri341161742:6139
13Persijap Jepara34991631:4536
14Madura United34981737:5435
15PSM Makassar348101639:4934
16Persis Solo348101639:5934
17Semen Padang34552422:6520
18PSBS Biak Numfor34462431:9518
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