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Stadium Background

Java United vs Persebaya

Indonesia Indonesia

Super League 2025/2026 Gelora Kie Raha Stadium, Ternate
Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Moreno de Franca G.
39'
Sayuri Y.
46'
Sub
Lestaluhu A. In: Igor Inocencio
Out: Lestaluhu A.

AI Match Summary

Persebaya in this Super League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Persebaya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Java United
15%
Draws
58%
Persebaya
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Persebaya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Persebaya lately — more wins on the board than Java United.
  • 58% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Super League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 53%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Java United Clean Sheet 10%
Persebaya Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Java United Persebaya
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 14 20
Draws 6 7
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 2.07 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.52 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2026 Super League
Java United vs Persebaya
0:2
Jan 10, 2026 Super League
Persebaya vs Java United
2:1
Jan 17, 2025 Super League
Persebaya vs Java United
0:2
Aug 16, 2024 Super League
Java United vs Persebaya
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Java United Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Persebaya Compare

Top Goalscorer Raickovic M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rivera F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.33
Avg xA / game 1.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Java United 34 / 100
Persebaya 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Java United Persebaya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Persebaya Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Java United's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.75 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Java United stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Persebaya has conceded goals in 47% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Java United VS Persebaya
2 Goals Scored 3.13
2 Goals Conceded 0.25
86% Over 1.5 75%
43% Over 2.5 63%
43% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Java United

(Home)
23 May
Borneo
7 : 1
Java United
16 May
Java United
1 : 1
Persita
10 May
PSIM Yogyakarta
2 : 0
Java United
02 May
Java United
5 : 2
Persis Solo
28 Apr
PSBS Biak Numfor
0 : 7
Java United
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Persebaya

(Away)
15 Aug
Persebaya
1 : 0
Penang
06 Aug
Persib Bandung
1 : 2
Persebaya
04 Aug
Persebaya
1 : 0
Arema FC
01 Aug
Persebaya
2 : 1
Port MTI FC
29 Jul
Persebaya
1 : 0
PSMS Medan
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persib Bandung 34 24 7 3 59:22 79
2 Borneo 34 25 4 5 74:31 79
3 Persija Jakarta 34 22 5 7 65:29 71
4 Persebaya 34 16 10 8 61:35 58
5 FC Bhayangkara 34 16 5 13 53:45 53
6 Java United 34 15 8 11 68:53 53
7 Dewa United 34 16 5 13 44:37 53
8 Bali United 34 14 9 11 57:48 51
9 Arema FC 34 13 9 12 53:47 48
10 Persita 34 13 6 15 38:37 45
11 PSIM Yogyakarta 34 11 12 11 43:44 45
12 Persik Kediri 34 11 6 17 42:61 39
13 Persijap Jepara 34 9 9 16 31:45 36
14 Madura United 34 9 8 17 37:54 35
15 PSM Makassar 34 8 10 16 39:49 34
16 Persis Solo 34 8 10 16 39:59 34
17 Semen Padang 34 5 5 24 22:65 20
18 PSBS Biak Numfor 34 4 6 24 31:95 18
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