Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Malveira vs Louletano

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 Estadio das Seixas, Malveira
Malveira Logo

Malveira

1 - 2
FT
Louletano Logo

Louletano

Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Correia T.
2' Event
Tavares W.
33' Event
Correia T.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 game between Malveira and Louletano finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Louletano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Malveira
15%
Draws
64%
Louletano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Louletano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Louletano carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Louletano are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Malveira Clean Sheet 13%
Louletano Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malveira Louletano
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 17
Draws 10 7
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.27 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.27 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Louletano vs Malveira
1:1
Apr 26, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Malveira vs Louletano
1:2
Apr 18, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Louletano vs Malveira
1:2
Dec 20, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Malveira vs Louletano
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Malveira Compare

Top Goalscorer Tavares W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Louletano Compare

Top Goalscorer Correia T.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malveira 22 / 100
Louletano 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malveira Louletano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Louletano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Malveira scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Louletano let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Malveira remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Malveira VS Louletano
0.5 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Malveira

(Home)
13 Sept
Sertanense
1 : 1
Malveira
06 Sept
Malveira
3 : 0
GD Os Nazarenos
29 Aug
Malveira
2 : 3
Mafra
23 Aug
Fatima
5 : 0
Malveira
16 Aug
Malveira
0 : 1
Os Marialvas
Page 1 of 6

Louletano

(Away)
20 Sept
Serpa
1 : 2
Louletano
12 Sept
Louletano
1 : 2
Santarem
06 Sept
Louletano
1 : 0
Lusitano GC
30 Aug
Castrense
0 : 1
Louletano
23 Aug
Caldas SC
2 : 4
Louletano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leca 6 4 1 1 12:8 13
2 SC Vianense 6 3 0 3 11:9 9
3 GD Braganca 6 2 2 2 5:5 8
4 Rebordosa 6 1 1 4 4:10 4
Promotion - Liga 3 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leca 6 4 1 1 12:8 13
2 SC Vianense 6 3 0 3 11:9 9
3 GD Braganca 6 2 2 2 5:5 8
4 Rebordosa 6 1 1 4 4:10 4
Promotion - Liga 3 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leca 6 4 1 1 12:8 13
2 SC Vianense 6 3 0 3 11:9 9
3 GD Braganca 6 2 2 2 5:5 8
4 Rebordosa 6 1 1 4 4:10 4
Promotion - Liga 3 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leca 6 4 1 1 12:8 13
2 SC Vianense 6 3 0 3 11:9 9
3 GD Braganca 6 2 2 2 5:5 8
4 Rebordosa 6 1 1 4 4:10 4
Promotion - Liga 3 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leca 6 4 1 1 12:8 13
2 SC Vianense 6 3 0 3 11:9 9
3 GD Braganca 6 2 2 2 5:5 8
4 Rebordosa 6 1 1 4 4:10 4
Promotion - Liga 3 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Sernache 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
2 Louletano 6 2 3 1 8:7 9
3 Oliveira Hospital 6 1 3 2 6:6 6
4 Malveira 6 0 3 3 3:9 3
Promotion - Liga 3 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Sernache 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
2 Louletano 6 2 3 1 8:7 9
3 Oliveira Hospital 6 1 3 2 6:6 6
4 Malveira 6 0 3 3 3:9 3
Promotion - Liga 3 (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Sernache 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
2 Louletano 6 2 3 1 8:7 9
3 Oliveira Hospital 6 1 3 2 6:6 6
4 Malveira 6 0 3 3 3:9 3
Promotion - Liga 3 (Main)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Sernache 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
2 Louletano 6 2 3 1 8:7 9
3 Oliveira Hospital 6 1 3 2 6:6 6
4 Malveira 6 0 3 3 3:9 3
Promotion - Liga 3 (Main)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Sernache 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
2 Louletano 6 2 3 1 8:7 9
3 Oliveira Hospital 6 1 3 2 6:6 6
4 Malveira 6 0 3 3 3:9 3
Promotion - Liga 3 (Main)