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Malveira vs Sintrense

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Henriques H.
90' Event
Manga M.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026 game between Malveira and Sintrense finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sintrense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Malveira
35%
Draws
53%
Sintrense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sintrense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Sintrense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Sintrense's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Malveira Clean Sheet 21%
Sintrense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malveira Sintrense
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 10 7
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.31 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Malveira vs Sintrense
0:2
Dec 14, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Sintrense vs Malveira
2:2
Jan 15, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group G
Malveira vs Sintrense
2:3
Oct 23, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group G
Sintrense vs Malveira
5:1
Apr 17, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group G
Sintrense vs Malveira
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Malveira Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Sintrense Compare

Top Goalscorer Henriques H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Manga M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malveira 10 / 100
Sintrense 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malveira Sintrense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SIN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Malveira found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Sintrense has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Malveira stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Malveira VS Sintrense
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Malveira

(Home)
31 May
Oliveira Hospital
1 : 1
Malveira
23 May
Malveira
0 : 3
Vitoria Sernache
17 May
Louletano
1 : 1
Malveira
10 May
Malveira
0 : 2
Oliveira Hospital
03 May
Vitoria Sernache
0 : 0
Malveira
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Sintrense

(Away)
01 Aug
Mafra
1 : 2
Sintrense
11 Jul
Benfica B
0 : 0
Sintrense
18 Apr
Sintrense
2 : 1
Portimonense B
12 Apr
Malveira
0 : 2
Sintrense
04 Apr
Sintrense
4 : 0
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Louletano 26 14 8 4 36:15 50
2 Malveira 26 13 8 5 38:23 47
3 Alverca B 26 14 5 7 49:32 47
4 Juv. Evora 26 12 10 4 36:23 46
5 GD Alcochetense 26 11 8 7 33:22 41
6 Sintrense 26 11 7 8 30:25 40
7 Lagoa 26 11 6 9 44:34 39
8 O Elvas CAD 26 9 7 10 33:29 34
9 Serpa 26 9 7 10 28:34 34
10 Oriental 26 7 11 8 29:35 32
11 Moncarapachense 26 7 10 9 21:21 31
12 Portimonense B 26 6 4 16 19:42 22
13 Industria 26 2 8 16 20:45 14
14 Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 26 1 11 14 20:56 14
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)