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Malvern Town vs Chippenham Town

England England

Southern League Premier South
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Clark H.
48' Event
Koszela O.
78' Event
Sady H.

AI Match Summary

Chippenham Town in this Southern League Premier South matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chippenham Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Malvern Town
15%
Draws
49%
Chippenham Town
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chippenham Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Chippenham Town have won more games recently than Malvern Town.
  • Chippenham Town are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Southern League Premier South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Malvern Town Clean Sheet 10%
Chippenham Town Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malvern Town Chippenham Town
Matches Played 24 27
Wins 4 11
Draws 5 4
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.21 1.33
Goals Conceded 2.08 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Malvern Town vs Chippenham Town
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Malvern Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Clark H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Chippenham Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Koszela O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sady H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malvern Town 22 / 100
Chippenham Town 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malvern Town Chippenham Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chippenham Town Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Chippenham Town conceded in 81% of 27 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Malvern Town scored in 63% of their last 24 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Chippenham Town has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Malvern Town VS Chippenham Town
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
2.75 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Malvern Town

(Home)
29 Sept
Bath City
2 : 1
Malvern Town
26 Sept
Mickleover
2 : 1
Malvern Town
22 Sept
Malvern Town
5 : 2
Gloucester City
12 Sept
Chertsey Town
5 : 0
Malvern Town
07 Sept
Redditch
4 : 0
Malvern Town
Page 1 of 5

Chippenham Town

(Away)
29 Sept
Evesham
2 : 0
Chippenham Town
26 Sept
Chippenham Town
2 : 3
Weymouth
22 Sept
Chippenham Town
2 : 1
Yate
18 Sept
Yate
0 : 0
Chippenham Town
12 Sept
Bath City
2 : 0
Chippenham Town
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Plymouth Parkway 8 6 1 1 22:7 19
2 Uxbridge 8 5 2 1 17:7 17
3 Hanworth Villa 8 5 1 2 15:7 16
4 Chertsey Town 8 4 2 2 19:12 14
5 Bath City 8 4 2 2 11:7 14
6 Frome Town 8 4 1 3 12:8 13
7 Chichester City 8 4 1 3 13:14 13
8 Berkhamsted Town 9 4 1 4 11:12 13
9 Taunton Town 8 4 0 4 21:20 12
10 Poole Town 7 4 0 3 8:9 12
11 Gosport Borough 8 3 2 3 11:9 11
12 Yate 7 3 2 2 10:11 11
13 Evesham 7 3 1 3 11:14 10
14 Bracknell Town 8 3 1 4 10:17 10
15 Wimborne 7 2 3 2 6:4 9
16 Basingstoke 8 2 3 3 13:14 9
17 Sholing 7 2 1 4 7:12 7
18 Chippenham Town 7 2 1 4 7:14 7
19 Hanwell Town 7 1 3 3 6:9 6
20 Gloucester City 8 1 3 4 11:16 6
21 Malvern Town 8 1 2 5 12:23 5
22 Havant & Waterlooville 8 1 1 6 8:15 4
Promotion - National League South 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)