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Malvern Town vs Frome Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Southern League Premier South
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Malvern Town host Frome Town in the Southern League Premier South. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Malvern Town at 1.2 goals for, 2.16 against; Frome Town at 1.78 for, 1.19 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.50 - 2.25) back Frome Town to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Malvern Town
30%
Draws
47%
Frome Town
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Frome Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Frome Town have won more games recently than Malvern Town.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Malvern Town Clean Sheet 10%
Frome Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malvern Town Frome Town
Matches Played 25 27
Wins 4 12
Draws 5 7
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 1.2 1.78
Goals Conceded 2.16 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malvern Town 34 / 100
Frome Town 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malvern Town Frome Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Frome Town Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malvern Town found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (25 games).

Frome Town let in goals in 74% of their last 27 matches.

Solid form: Malvern Town remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Frome Town lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Malvern Town VS Frome Town
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Malvern Town

(Home)
10 Oct
Basingstoke
4 : 1
Malvern Town
29 Sept
Bath City
2 : 1
Malvern Town
26 Sept
Mickleover
2 : 1
Malvern Town
22 Sept
Malvern Town
5 : 2
Gloucester City
12 Sept
Chertsey Town
5 : 0
Malvern Town
Page 1 of 5

Frome Town

(Away)
10 Oct
Frome Town
1 : 1
Sholing
03 Oct
Yate
3 : 3
Frome Town
30 Sept
Frome Town
2 : 2
Taunton Town
26 Sept
Frome Town
2 : 1
Willand Rovers
22 Sept
Plymouth Parkway
2 : 0
Frome Town
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poole Town 11 8 0 3 18:12 24
2 Uxbridge 10 7 2 1 20:8 23
3 Plymouth Parkway 10 6 2 2 24:11 20
4 Hanworth Villa 10 6 1 3 18:11 19
5 Bath City 10 5 2 3 14:10 17
6 Frome Town 11 4 4 3 18:14 16
7 Chichester City 10 5 1 4 17:17 16
8 Berkhamsted Town 11 5 1 5 14:14 16
9 Wimborne 9 4 3 2 16:7 15
10 Chertsey Town 10 4 3 3 22:17 15
11 Gosport Borough 11 4 3 4 15:14 15
12 Taunton Town 10 4 1 5 24:24 13
13 Evesham 10 4 1 5 14:18 13
14 Basingstoke 10 3 3 4 18:17 12
15 Yate 10 3 3 4 13:21 12
16 Sholing 9 3 2 4 10:13 11
17 Bracknell Town 10 3 2 5 11:19 11
18 Hanwell Town 9 2 4 3 9:11 10
19 Gloucester City 10 2 4 4 15:18 10
20 Chippenham Town 9 2 2 5 9:18 8
21 Havant & Waterlooville 10 1 2 7 12:22 5
22 Malvern Town 10 1 2 7 14:29 5
Promotion - National League South 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)