Sport Picks
Malvern Town vs Gloucester City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Southern League Premier South 
Match Events
20'
20'
Hanks J.
27'
27'
Nugent B.
27'
27'
Tumelty J.
Penalty Missed
AI Match Summary
Malvern Town in this Southern League Premier South matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Malvern Town.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
15%
65%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gloucester City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Gloucester City lately — more wins on the board than Malvern Town.
- Model gives Gloucester City a 65% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Malvern Town Clean Sheet 10%
Gloucester City Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Malvern Town | Gloucester City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 24 | 31 |
| Wins | 4 | 18 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 15 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.84 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.08 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 22, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Malvern Town vs Gloucester City
5:2
Jul 8, 2023 Club Friendly
Malvern Town vs Gloucester City
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Malvern Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Clark H.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bullock J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Gloucester City Compare
Top Goalscorer Hanks J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Hill K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Malvern Town 10 / 100
Gloucester City 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Malvern Town Gloucester City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gloucester City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Malvern Town found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (24 games).
Defensive concern: Gloucester City conceded in 58% of 31 recent games.
Malvern Town went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Malvern Town VS Gloucester City
1.13 Goals Scored 2
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Malvern Town
(Home) 29 Sept
Bath City
2 : 1 Malvern Town
26 Sept
Mickleover
2 : 1 Malvern Town
22 Sept
Malvern Town
5 : 2 Gloucester City
12 Sept
Chertsey Town
5 : 0 Malvern Town
07 Sept
Redditch
4 : 0 Malvern Town
Page 1 of 5
22 Sept
Malvern Town
5 : 2 Gloucester City
05 Sept
Malvern Town
1 : 1 Redditch
31 Aug
Malvern Town
1 : 2 Chippenham Town
22 Aug
Malvern Town
0 : 3 Wimborne
08 Aug
Malvern Town
2 : 2 Hanwell Town
Page 1 of 3
Gloucester City
(Away) 03 Oct
Mulbarton Wanderers
1 : 2 Gloucester City
29 Sept
Gloucester City
1 : 1 Plymouth Parkway
26 Sept
Gloucester City
4 : 0 Stafford
22 Sept
Malvern Town
5 : 2 Gloucester City
19 Sept
AFC Totton
0 : 2 Gloucester City
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
Mulbarton Wanderers
1 : 2 Gloucester City
22 Sept
Malvern Town
5 : 2 Gloucester City
19 Sept
AFC Totton
0 : 2 Gloucester City
08 Sept
Mangotsfield
0 : 4 Gloucester City
29 Aug
Havant & Waterlooville
3 : 3 Gloucester City
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Poole Town | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 17:12 | 21 |
| 2 | Plymouth Parkway | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 23:8 | 20 |
| 3 | Uxbridge | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19:8 | 20 |
| 4 | Hanworth Villa | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17:8 | 19 |
| 5 | Bath City | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:8 | 17 |
| 6 | Frome Town | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17:13 | 15 |
| 7 | Chertsey Town | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 20:15 | 14 |
| 8 | Taunton Town | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 23:22 | 13 |
| 9 | Chichester City | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 10 | Evesham | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14:17 | 13 |
| 11 | Berkhamsted Town | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 11:14 | 13 |
| 12 | Wimborne | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:4 | 12 |
| 13 | Gosport Borough | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13:13 | 12 |
| 14 | Yate | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:18 | 12 |
| 15 | Bracknell Town | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11:18 | 11 |
| 16 | Sholing | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | 10 |
| 17 | Basingstoke | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 18 | Hanwell Town | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7:10 | 7 |
| 19 | Gloucester City | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12:17 | 7 |
| 20 | Chippenham Town | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:16 | 7 |
| 21 | Havant & Waterlooville | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9:16 | 5 |
| 22 | Malvern Town | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 13:25 | 5 |
Promotion - National League South 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)
