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Malvern Town vs Hanworth Villa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Southern League Premier South
Sat, Oct 3, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Malvern Town host Hanworth Villa in the Southern League Premier South. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Malvern Town have averaged 1.21 scored and 2.08 conceded recently, against Hanworth Villa's 1.96 scored and 1.59 conceded. Head-to-head, Malvern Town have won 0 to Hanworth Villa's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Oct 3, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.13 - 2.56) back Hanworth Villa to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Malvern Town
15%
Draws
68%
Hanworth Villa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hanworth Villa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hanworth Villa lately — more wins on the board than Malvern Town.
  • Model gives Malvern Town a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Southern League Premier South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Malvern Town Clean Sheet 10%
Hanworth Villa Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malvern Town Hanworth Villa
Matches Played 24 27
Wins 4 15
Draws 5 3
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.21 1.96
Goals Conceded 2.08 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Malvern Town vs Hanworth Villa
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malvern Town 40 / 100
Hanworth Villa 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malvern Town Hanworth Villa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Malvern Town scored in 63% of their last 24 outings.

Hanworth Villa has conceded goals in 74% of their last 27 outings.

These sides typically produce 0.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Malvern Town remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Malvern Town VS Hanworth Villa
1.13 Goals Scored 2.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Malvern Town

(Home)
29 Sept
Bath City
2 : 1
Malvern Town
26 Sept
Mickleover
2 : 1
Malvern Town
22 Sept
Malvern Town
5 : 2
Gloucester City
12 Sept
Chertsey Town
5 : 0
Malvern Town
07 Sept
Redditch
4 : 0
Malvern Town
Page 1 of 5

Hanworth Villa

(Away)
03 Oct
Leatherhead
1 : 0
Hanworth Villa
29 Sept
Hanworth Villa
2 : 1
Chichester City
26 Sept
Hanworth Villa
3 : 2
Stortford
22 Sept
Berkhamsted Town
1 : 2
Hanworth Villa
19 Sept
Pagham
0 : 6
Hanworth Villa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Plymouth Parkway 9 6 2 1 23:8 20
2 Uxbridge 9 6 2 1 19:8 20
3 Hanworth Villa 9 6 1 2 17:8 19
4 Poole Town 9 6 0 3 14:11 18
5 Bath City 9 5 2 2 13:8 17
6 Frome Town 10 4 3 3 17:13 15
7 Chertsey Town 9 4 2 3 20:15 14
8 Taunton Town 9 4 1 4 23:22 13
9 Chichester City 9 4 1 4 14:16 13
10 Evesham 9 4 1 4 14:17 13
11 Berkhamsted Town 10 4 1 5 11:14 13
12 Wimborne 8 3 3 2 10:4 12
13 Gosport Borough 9 3 3 3 12:10 12
14 Yate 9 3 3 3 13:18 12
15 Bracknell Town 9 3 2 4 11:18 11
16 Sholing 8 3 1 4 9:12 10
17 Basingstoke 9 2 3 4 14:16 9
18 Hanwell Town 8 1 4 3 7:10 7
19 Gloucester City 9 1 4 4 12:17 7
20 Chippenham Town 8 2 1 5 7:16 7
21 Havant & Waterlooville 9 1 2 6 9:16 5
22 Malvern Town 9 1 2 6 13:25 5
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