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Malvern Town vs Havant & Waterlooville - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Southern League Premier South
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Malvern Town host Havant & Waterlooville in the Southern League Premier South. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Havant & Waterlooville have shipped 2.1 goals a game lately, while Malvern Town have conceded 2.25 and scored 1.25. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 2.00 vs 2.00, favoring Havant & Waterlooville. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Malvern Town
15%
Draws
46%
Havant & Waterlooville
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Havant & Waterlooville

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Havant & Waterlooville carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Malvern Town are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Southern League Premier South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Malvern Town Clean Sheet 10%
Havant & Waterlooville Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malvern Town Havant & Waterlooville
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 5 6
Draws 5 6
Losses 18 17
Goals Scored 1.25 1.48
Goals Conceded 2.25 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malvern Town 40 / 100
Havant & Waterlooville 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malvern Town Havant & Waterlooville

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Havant & Waterlooville let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Malvern Town found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Recent resilience: Malvern Town stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Havant & Waterlooville registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Malvern Town VS Havant & Waterlooville
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Malvern Town

(Home)
31 Oct
Sholing
4 : 2
Malvern Town
20 Oct
Uxbridge
3 : 0
Malvern Town
17 Oct
Malvern Town
2 : 0
Frome Town
13 Oct
Malvern Town
3 : 2
Yate
10 Oct
Basingstoke
4 : 1
Malvern Town
Page 1 of 6

Havant & Waterlooville

(Away)
31 Oct
Havant & Waterlooville
1 : 0
Taunton Town
27 Oct
Hanwell Town
6 : 1
Havant & Waterlooville
20 Oct
Bath City
1 : 0
Havant & Waterlooville
17 Oct
Havant & Waterlooville
2 : 2
Hanworth Villa
13 Oct
Havant & Waterlooville
4 : 1
Basingstoke
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uxbridge 14 10 2 2 28:11 32
2 Poole Town 15 10 1 4 27:16 31
3 Hanworth Villa 15 9 3 3 31:18 30
4 Plymouth Parkway 15 9 2 4 32:19 29
5 Bath City 14 9 2 3 20:10 29
6 Chertsey Town 15 7 5 3 33:24 26
7 Chichester City 15 8 1 6 27:25 25
8 Gosport Borough 15 7 3 5 25:20 24
9 Wimborne 13 6 4 3 22:9 22
10 Taunton Town 13 6 1 6 32:26 19
11 Frome Town 14 5 4 5 22:19 19
12 Berkhamsted Town 14 5 3 6 18:20 18
13 Sholing 13 4 4 5 18:20 16
14 Evesham 15 5 1 9 20:32 16
15 Basingstoke 15 4 3 8 24:31 15
16 Hanwell Town 14 3 5 6 18:21 14
17 Yate 14 3 5 6 16:27 14
18 Bracknell Town 16 4 2 10 17:35 14
19 Havant & Waterlooville 15 3 3 9 20:32 12
20 Chippenham Town 14 3 3 8 15:29 12
21 Gloucester City 12 2 5 5 17:21 11
22 Malvern Town 14 3 2 9 21:38 11
Promotion - National League South 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)