Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Malvern Town vs Yate - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Southern League Premier South
Tue, Oct 13, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Malvern Town host Yate in the Southern League Premier South. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Malvern Town have averaged 1.21 scored and 2.08 conceded recently, against Yate's 1.32 scored and 1.54 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.63 - 1.94) back Yate to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Malvern Town
20%
Draws
32%
Yate
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Malvern Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Yate carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Malvern Town a 48% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Malvern Town Clean Sheet 10%
Yate Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malvern Town Yate
Matches Played 24 28
Wins 4 9
Draws 5 7
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.21 1.32
Goals Conceded 2.08 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malvern Town 83 / 100
Yate 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malvern Town Yate

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malvern Town Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Malvern Town scored in 63% of their last 24 outings.

Yate let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Yate's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Solid form: Malvern Town remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Malvern Town VS Yate
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Malvern Town

(Home)
29 Sept
Bath City
2 : 1
Malvern Town
26 Sept
Mickleover
2 : 1
Malvern Town
22 Sept
Malvern Town
5 : 2
Gloucester City
12 Sept
Chertsey Town
5 : 0
Malvern Town
07 Sept
Redditch
4 : 0
Malvern Town
Page 1 of 5

Yate

(Away)
03 Oct
Yate
3 : 3
Frome Town
29 Sept
Wimborne
4 : 0
Yate
26 Sept
Yate
0 : 1
Sholing
22 Sept
Chippenham Town
2 : 1
Yate
18 Sept
Yate
0 : 0
Chippenham Town
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poole Town 10 7 0 3 17:12 21
2 Plymouth Parkway 9 6 2 1 23:8 20
3 Uxbridge 9 6 2 1 19:8 20
4 Hanworth Villa 9 6 1 2 17:8 19
5 Bath City 9 5 2 2 13:8 17
6 Frome Town 10 4 3 3 17:13 15
7 Chertsey Town 9 4 2 3 20:15 14
8 Taunton Town 9 4 1 4 23:22 13
9 Chichester City 9 4 1 4 14:16 13
10 Evesham 9 4 1 4 14:17 13
11 Berkhamsted Town 10 4 1 5 11:14 13
12 Wimborne 8 3 3 2 10:4 12
13 Gosport Borough 10 3 3 4 13:13 12
14 Yate 9 3 3 3 13:18 12
15 Bracknell Town 9 3 2 4 11:18 11
16 Sholing 8 3 1 4 9:12 10
17 Basingstoke 9 2 3 4 14:16 9
18 Hanwell Town 8 1 4 3 7:10 7
19 Gloucester City 9 1 4 4 12:17 7
20 Chippenham Town 8 2 1 5 7:16 7
21 Havant & Waterlooville 9 1 2 6 9:16 5
22 Malvern Town 9 1 2 6 13:25 5
Promotion - National League South 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)