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Malzenice vs Samorin

Slovakia Slovakia

2. liga 2025/2026 Obecny futbalovy stadion Malzenice, Malženice
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Adewale A.
27' Event
Zahradnik Z.
27'
Sarmir T.

AI Match Summary

Samorin in this 2. liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Samorin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Malzenice
15%
Draws
64%
Samorin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Samorin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Samorin have won more games recently than Malzenice.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Samorin have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Malzenice Clean Sheet 10%
Samorin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malzenice Samorin
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 11 12
Draws 7 6
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.54 1.58
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2026 2. liga
Samorin vs Malzenice
2:0
May 8, 2026 2. liga
Malzenice vs Samorin
2:3
Jan 30, 2026 Tipsport liga
Samorin vs Malzenice
2:0
Oct 25, 2025 2. liga
Samorin vs Malzenice
1:0
Mar 30, 2025 2. liga
Samorin vs Malzenice
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Malzenice Compare

Top Goalscorer Mojzis A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Samorin Compare

Top Goalscorer Zahradnik Z.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Marong M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malzenice 30 / 100
Samorin 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malzenice Samorin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Samorin Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Malzenice scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Samorin conceded in 77% of 26 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Malzenice has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Malzenice VS Samorin
1.75 Goals Scored 2.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Malzenice

(Home)
16 Aug
Malzenice
1 : 2
Povazska Bystrica
08 Aug
Banik Lehota pod Vtacnikom
1 : 1
Malzenice
02 Aug
Malzenice
4 : 2
Slovan Bratislava B
27 Jul
Samorin
2 : 0
Malzenice
18 Jul
Hodonin
2 : 1
Malzenice
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Samorin

(Away)
15 Aug
Samorin
0 : 2
Banik Lehota pod Vtacnikom
09 Aug
Slovan Bratislava B
1 : 2
Samorin
01 Aug
Samorin
3 : 1
FK Humenne
27 Jul
Samorin
2 : 0
Malzenice
19 Jul
Samorin
2 : 1
Al-Gharafa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Banska Bystrica 30 20 6 4 61:25 66
2 Zvolen 30 13 10 7 46:36 49
3 L. Mikulas 30 13 9 8 55:47 48
4 Petrzalka 30 14 6 10 45:31 48
5 Malzenice 30 13 8 9 44:38 47
6 FK Pohronie 30 11 11 8 47:35 44
7 Z. Moravce-Vrable 30 12 8 10 57:49 44
8 Inter Bratislava 30 12 6 12 35:36 42
9 Slovan Bratislava B 30 10 10 10 45:48 40
10 Samorin 30 10 8 12 44:46 38
11 Banik Lehota pod Vtacnikom 30 9 8 13 41:52 35
12 Povazska Bystrica 30 8 9 13 38:49 33
13 Zilina B 30 9 6 15 43:59 33
14 Slavia Kosice 30 8 8 14 38:54 32
15 MSK Puchov 30 6 11 13 33:50 29
16 Stara Lubovna 30 6 8 16 35:52 26
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