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Mamore vs Guarani-MG

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 2
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Jackson
20' Event
Mateusinho
70'
Matheus Sacramento

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Mineiro 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Mamore
20%
Draws
40%
Guarani-MG
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Guarani-MG lately — more wins on the board than Mamore.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Mamore Clean Sheet 68%
Guarani-MG Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mamore Guarani-MG
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 13
Draws 10 7
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 0.77 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2026 Mineiro 2
Mamore vs Guarani-MG
2:2
Jun 13, 2026 Mineiro 2
Guarani-MG vs Mamore
2:1
Nov 21, 2023 Mineiro 3
Mamore vs Guarani-MG
3:2
Nov 11, 2023 Mineiro 3
Guarani-MG vs Mamore
2:2
Feb 29, 2020 Mineiro 2
Mamore vs Guarani-MG
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mamore Compare

Top Goalscorer Mateusinho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kriguer
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Guarani-MG Compare

Top Goalscorer Jackson
1 Goals
Assists Leader Daniel
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mamore 42 / 100
Guarani-MG 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mamore Guarani-MG

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Guarani-MG's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Mamore stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Mamore scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mamore VS Guarani-MG
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mamore

(Home)
08 Aug
Democrata SL
3 : 1
Mamore
02 Aug
Mamore
1 : 2
Democrata SL
25 Jul
Uberaba
0 : 0
Mamore
18 Jul
Mamore
2 : 1
Uberaba
12 Jul
Mamore
1 : 0
Patrocinense
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Guarani-MG

(Away)
12 Jul
Guarani-MG
2 : 4
Boa
04 Jul
Patrocinense
0 : 1
Guarani-MG
01 Jul
Mamore
2 : 2
Guarani-MG
27 Jun
Guarani-MG
2 : 0
Caldense
23 Jun
Uberaba
2 : 1
Guarani-MG
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uberaba 10 7 2 1 17:9 23
2 Boa 10 5 2 3 12:9 17
3 Mamore 10 3 3 4 8:9 12
4 Patrocinense 10 3 3 4 9:9 12
5 Guarani-MG 10 3 3 4 12:14 12
6 Caldense 10 1 3 6 6:14 6
Promotion - Mineiro 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Mineiro 3 2027 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valeriodoce 10 5 5 0 9:4 20
2 Democrata SL 10 5 2 3 19:10 17
3 Aymores 10 4 4 2 17:9 16
4 Villa Nova AC 10 4 2 4 17:12 14
5 Coimbra Esporte Clube 10 2 4 4 12:12 10
6 Ipatinga 10 1 1 8 6:33 -2
Promotion - Mineiro 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Mineiro 3 2027 (Main)