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Mamore vs Nacional Uberaba

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 3 2023 game between Mamore and Nacional Uberaba finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mamore.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Mamore
28%
Draws
22%
Nacional Uberaba
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Mamore

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mamore come out ahead of Nacional Uberaba on wins alone.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Mamore taking it.
  • Regular Mineiro 3 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Mamore Clean Sheet 20%
Nacional Uberaba Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mamore Nacional Uberaba
Matches Played 41 27
Wins 13 9
Draws 16 6
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 0.5 1
Goals Conceded 1 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.60

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2023 Mineiro 3
Nacional Uberaba vs Mamore
0:0
Sep 25, 2023 Mineiro 3
Mamore vs Nacional Uberaba
2:1
Sep 10, 2022 Mineiro 3
Mamore vs Nacional Uberaba
0:2
Mar 1, 2014 Mineiro 2
Nacional Uberaba vs Mamore
0:2
Feb 5, 2014 Mineiro 2
Mamore vs Nacional Uberaba
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mamore 49 / 100
Nacional Uberaba 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mamore Nacional Uberaba

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nacional Uberaba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 27 matches.

Mamore has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Mamore found the back of the net in 56% of recent matches (41 games).

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Mamore VS Nacional Uberaba
0.5 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.6
38% Over 1.5 80%
25% Over 2.5 40%
13% Over 3.5 40%

League Standings

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3Juventus Minasnovense62137:77
4Boston City60064:120
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1Guarani-MG650110:215
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PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Contagem64115:213
2Coimbra Esporte Clube632113:311
3Inter de Minas63128:610
4Serranense60064:190
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mamore862016:420
2Araxa842211:614
3Paracatu73139:810
4Nacional Uberaba71334:96
5Pirapora81073:163