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Mamore vs Nacional Uberaba

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 3 2023 game between Mamore and Nacional Uberaba finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mamore.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Mamore
30%
Draws
29%
Nacional Uberaba
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mamore

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mamore come out ahead of Nacional Uberaba on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Mineiro 3 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Mamore Clean Sheet 20%
Nacional Uberaba Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mamore Nacional Uberaba
Matches Played 40 27
Wins 12 9
Draws 14 6
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0.93 1.3
Goals Conceded 0.95 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.11 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2023 Mineiro 3
Nacional Uberaba vs Mamore
0:0
Sep 25, 2023 Mineiro 3
Mamore vs Nacional Uberaba
2:1
Sep 10, 2022 Mineiro 3
Mamore vs Nacional Uberaba
0:2
Mar 1, 2014 Mineiro 2
Nacional Uberaba vs Mamore
0:2
Feb 5, 2014 Mineiro 2
Mamore vs Nacional Uberaba
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mamore 31 / 100
Nacional Uberaba 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mamore Nacional Uberaba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mamore Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nacional Uberaba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 27 matches.

Mamore has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Mamore found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (40 games).

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Mamore VS Nacional Uberaba
0.63 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.6
38% Over 1.5 80%
25% Over 2.5 40%
13% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Mamore

(Home)
08 Aug
Democrata SL
3 : 1
Mamore
02 Aug
Mamore
1 : 2
Democrata SL
25 Jul
Uberaba
0 : 0
Mamore
18 Jul
Mamore
2 : 1
Uberaba
12 Jul
Mamore
1 : 0
Patrocinense
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Nacional Uberaba

(Away)
11 Oct
Juventus Minasnovense
2 : 2
Nacional Uberaba
06 Oct
Nacional Uberaba
1 : 0
Passos
20 Sept
Essube
3 : 1
Nacional Uberaba
07 Sept
Boa
2 : 0
Nacional Uberaba
01 Sept
Nacional Uberaba
1 : 1
Paracatu
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America TO 6 5 1 0 8:2 16
2 Valeriodoce 6 4 0 2 6:4 12
3 Juventus Minasnovense 6 2 1 3 7:7 7
4 Boston City 6 0 0 6 4:12 0
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guarani-MG 6 5 0 1 10:2 15
2 Pocos de Caldas 6 3 1 2 6:6 10
3 Villa Real 5 1 1 3 1:4 4
4 Tres Coracoes 5 1 0 4 2:7 3
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Contagem 6 4 1 1 5:2 13
2 Coimbra Esporte Clube 6 3 2 1 13:3 11
3 Inter de Minas 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
4 Serranense 6 0 0 6 4:19 0
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mamore 8 6 2 0 16:4 20
2 Araxa 8 4 2 2 11:6 14
3 Paracatu 7 3 1 3 9:8 10
4 Nacional Uberaba 7 1 3 3 4:9 6
5 Pirapora 8 1 0 7 3:16 3
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2023 (Play Offs)