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Mamore vs Paracatu

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 3 2022 game between Mamore and Paracatu finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mamore.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Mamore
30%
Draws
37%
Paracatu
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Paracatu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Paracatu come out ahead of Mamore on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Mamore here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Mamore Clean Sheet 20%
Paracatu Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mamore Paracatu
Matches Played 32 27
Wins 9 10
Draws 10 9
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 0.88 1.48
Goals Conceded 1 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.08
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2023 Mineiro 3
Paracatu vs Mamore
1:3
Sep 11, 2023 Mineiro 3
Mamore vs Paracatu
2:0
Aug 6, 2022 Mineiro 3
Mamore vs Paracatu
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mamore 32 / 100
Paracatu 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mamore Paracatu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paracatu Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Paracatu conceded in 70% of 27 recent games.

Mamore has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Mamore's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Mamore VS Paracatu
0.88 Goals Scored 1.17
1 Goals Conceded 0.83
50% Over 1.5 83%
38% Over 2.5 33%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mamore

(Home)
08 Aug
Democrata SL
3 : 1
Mamore
02 Aug
Mamore
1 : 2
Democrata SL
25 Jul
Uberaba
0 : 0
Mamore
18 Jul
Mamore
2 : 1
Uberaba
12 Jul
Mamore
1 : 0
Patrocinense
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Paracatu

(Away)
22 Nov
Paracatu
0 : 0
Novo Esporte
15 Nov
Tupi-MG
1 : 2
Paracatu
08 Nov
Coimbra Esporte Clube
2 : 1
Paracatu
01 Nov
Paracatu
1 : 1
Boa
25 Oct
Essube
0 : 2
Paracatu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Esporte Clube 7 5 1 1 12:5 16
2 Valeriodoce 7 5 1 1 11:5 16
3 America TO 7 4 2 1 11:6 14
4 Novo Esporte 7 4 1 2 13:8 13
5 Boston City 7 2 3 2 11:8 9
6 Contagem 7 2 2 3 8:7 8
7 Juventus Minasnovense 7 1 0 6 8:14 3
8 Ideal FC 7 0 0 7 0:21 0
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itabirito 7 6 0 1 12:1 18
2 Villa Real 7 4 1 2 7:4 13
3 Santarritense 7 3 3 1 8:4 12
4 Tres Coracoes 7 3 1 3 12:13 10
5 Passos 7 2 3 2 5:5 9
6 Figueirense Esporte Clube 7 1 4 2 6:10 7
7 Betis 7 1 3 3 5:8 6
8 Pocos de Caldas 7 0 1 6 2:12 1
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Araxa 7 5 2 0 7:2 17
2 Coimbra Esporte Clube 7 4 1 2 13:8 13
3 Nacional Uberaba 7 4 0 3 11:8 12
4 Mamore 7 3 3 1 12:8 12
5 Inter de Minas 7 2 2 3 7:8 8
6 Serranense 7 1 3 3 8:10 6
7 Paracatu 7 1 3 3 7:12 6
8 Sao Gotardo 7 0 2 5 4:13 2
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2022 (Play Offs)