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Mamore vs Patrocinense

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 2 2025
Mamore Logo

Mamore

0 - 1
FT
Patrocinense Logo

Patrocinense

Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Guilherme Xuxa
(Penalty)
42'
Cesar Morais
42'
Cesar Morais
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 2 2025 game between Mamore and Patrocinense finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Patrocinense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Mamore
15%
Draws
26%
Patrocinense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mamore

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Mamore's 0.8 goals per match outpaces what Patrocinense have produced (0.67).
  • Mamore are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Mineiro 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Mamore Clean Sheet 68%
Patrocinense Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mamore Patrocinense
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 13 6
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 0.8 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Mineiro 2
Mamore vs Patrocinense
1:0
May 30, 2026 Mineiro 2
Patrocinense vs Mamore
1:3
Jun 16, 2025 Mineiro 2
Mamore vs Patrocinense
0:1
May 10, 2025 Mineiro 2
Patrocinense vs Mamore
0:1
Mar 19, 2017 Mineiro 2
Mamore vs Patrocinense
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mamore 68 / 100
Patrocinense 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mamore Patrocinense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mamore Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Patrocinense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Mamore remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Patrocinense registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mamore VS Patrocinense
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
25% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mamore

(Home)
08 Aug
Democrata SL
3 : 1
Mamore
02 Aug
Mamore
1 : 2
Democrata SL
25 Jul
Uberaba
0 : 0
Mamore
18 Jul
Mamore
2 : 1
Uberaba
12 Jul
Mamore
1 : 0
Patrocinense
Page 1 of 7

Patrocinense

(Away)
25 Jul
Democrata SL
2 : 1
Patrocinense
19 Jul
Patrocinense
1 : 4
Democrata SL
12 Jul
Mamore
1 : 0
Patrocinense
04 Jul
Patrocinense
0 : 1
Guarani-MG
01 Jul
Caldense
1 : 2
Patrocinense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Patrocinense 10 5 2 3 7:6 17
2 URT 10 4 4 2 11:8 16
3 Mamore 10 3 4 3 11:11 13
4 Uberaba 10 2 5 3 11:11 11
5 Caldense 10 2 5 3 9:10 11
6 Varginha 10 2 4 4 9:12 10
Promotion - Mineiro 2 2025 (Final Stage)
Relegation - Mineiro 3 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ipatinga 10 5 2 3 11:10 17
2 North Esporte Clube 10 4 4 2 17:13 16
3 Democrata SL 10 3 4 3 9:8 13
4 Valeriodoce 10 3 4 3 12:12 13
5 Guarani-MG 10 3 3 4 10:10 12
6 Nacional de Muriae 10 2 3 5 10:16 9
Promotion - Mineiro 2 2025 (Final Stage)
Relegation - Mineiro 3 2025 (Main)