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Stadium Background

Manacor vs Binissalem

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Ramos S.
80' Event
Vecina S.
(Penalty)
87' Event
Marin A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 game between Manacor and Binissalem finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Manacor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Manacor
15%
Draws
26%
Binissalem
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Manacor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Manacor carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Manacor are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Manacor Clean Sheet 20%
Binissalem Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manacor Binissalem
Matches Played 36 34
Wins 24 12
Draws 6 11
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.97 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.11 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Manacor vs Binissalem
2:1
Mar 14, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Binissalem vs Manacor
0:1
Nov 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Manacor vs Binissalem
1:0
May 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Manacor vs Binissalem
2:3
Jan 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Binissalem vs Manacor
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Manacor Compare

Top Goalscorer Marin A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Binissalem Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramos S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manacor 42 / 100
Binissalem 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manacor Binissalem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manacor found the back of the net in 100% of recent matches (36 games).

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Manacor remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Binissalem lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Manacor VS Binissalem
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Manacor

(Home)
12 Sept
Platges de Calvia
1 : 2
Manacor
05 Sept
Manacor
2 : 1
Binissalem
07 Jun
Manacor
1 : 3
Pena Deportiva
30 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 1
Manacor
23 May
Manacor
2 : 1
Llosetense
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Binissalem

(Away)
12 Sept
Binissalem
1 : 3
Cardassar
05 Sept
Manacor
2 : 1
Binissalem
10 May
Binissalem
2 : 0
CD Son Cladera
03 May
Alcudia
1 : 1
Binissalem
25 Apr
Binissalem
0 : 2
Mallorca B
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alcudia 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
2 SD Ibiza 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
3 PE Sant Jordi 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
4 Manacor 2 2 0 0 4:2 6
5 Constancia 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
6 Formentera 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
7 Mercadal 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
8 Cardassar 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
9 Llosetense 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
10 Porreres 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
11 Andratx 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
12 Santanyi 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
13 Platges de Calvia 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
14 Binissalem 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
15 Migjorn 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
16 Sineu 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
17 Arenal 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
18 Inter Ibiza 2 0 0 2 0:7 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 (Play Offs)