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Manacor vs Mercadal

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Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Amengual T.
77' Event
Riera S.
85' Event
Frau S.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 game between Manacor and Mercadal finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Manacor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Manacor
20%
Draws
44%
Mercadal
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mercadal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Manacor come out ahead of Mercadal on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Manacor taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Manacor Clean Sheet 68%
Mercadal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manacor Mercadal
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 12
Draws 6 3
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.83 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Manacor vs Mercadal
3:0
Nov 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Mercadal vs Manacor
0:1
Feb 15, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Mercadal vs Manacor
0:0
Oct 5, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Manacor vs Mercadal
5:1
Mar 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Mercadal vs Manacor
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Manacor Compare

Top Goalscorer Amengual T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Riera S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Mercadal Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manacor 95 / 100
Mercadal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manacor Mercadal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Manacor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manacor's goal record stands at 100% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Mercadal has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Manacor has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Manacor VS Mercadal
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Manacor

(Home)
07 Jun
Manacor
1 : 3
Pena Deportiva
30 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 1
Manacor
23 May
Manacor
2 : 1
Llosetense
17 May
Llosetense
1 : 1
Manacor
09 May
Manacor
1 : 1
Mallorca B
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Mercadal

(Away)
10 May
Mercadal
3 : 2
Alcudia
03 May
Mallorca B
7 : 0
Mercadal
29 Apr
Llosetense
6 : 1
Mercadal
26 Apr
Mercadal
1 : 0
Platges de Calvia
19 Apr
Formentera
1 : 0
Mercadal
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 34 26 6 2 105:22 84
2 Manacor 34 24 5 5 71:39 77
3 Pena Deportiva 34 20 8 6 69:30 68
4 Constancia 34 19 5 10 62:29 62
5 Llosetense 34 16 10 8 59:40 58
6 Formentera 34 13 13 8 40:29 52
7 Inter Ibiza 34 15 5 14 42:43 50
8 Mercadal 34 15 4 15 31:45 49
9 Cardassar 34 12 8 14 38:55 44
10 Platges de Calvia 34 12 6 16 41:43 42
11 Binissalem 34 10 11 13 26:34 41
12 Santanyi 34 11 8 15 43:58 41
13 Alcudia 34 11 5 18 37:62 38
14 CD Son Cladera 34 11 5 18 41:63 38
15 Portmany 34 8 6 20 25:50 30
16 Collerense 34 6 10 18 41:64 28
17 Felanitx 34 5 11 18 32:62 26
18 Rotlet Molinar 34 5 8 21 34:69 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)