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Managua FC vs Esteli - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Nicaragua Nicaragua

Liga Primera
Managua FC Logo

Managua FC

1 - 1
FT
Esteli Logo

Esteli

Our Tip

Match Events

50'
56' Event
Bonilla B.
64' Event
Zepeda E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga Primera game between Managua FC and Esteli finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Managua FC
35%
Draws
27%
Esteli
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Managua FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Esteli carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Managua FC are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Liga Primera form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Managua FC Clean Sheet 68%
Esteli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Managua FC Esteli
Matches Played 32 37
Wins 19 22
Draws 8 8
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 2.13 1.84
Goals Conceded 1.09 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Liga Primera
Managua FC vs Esteli
1:1
Apr 9, 2026 Liga Primera
Esteli vs Managua FC
2:1
Feb 8, 2026 Liga Primera
Managua FC vs Esteli
0:2
Dec 7, 2025 Liga Primera
Managua FC vs Esteli
1:2
Dec 1, 2025 Liga Primera
Esteli vs Managua FC
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Managua FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Zepeda E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Esteli Compare

Top Goalscorer Bonilla B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Managua FC 50 / 100
Esteli 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Managua FC Esteli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Managua FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Managua FC scored in 94% of their last 32 games.

Managua FC has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Esteli has conceded goals in 57% of their last 37 outings.

Scoring Trends

Managua FC VS Esteli
3.5 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Managua FC

(Home)
03 Oct
Rancho Santana
1 : 6
Managua FC
11 Sept
Managua FC
1 : 1
Esteli
06 Sept
Walter Ferreti
2 : 3
Managua FC
03 Sept
Managua FC
3 : 3
Diriangen
31 Aug
UNAN-Managua
0 : 2
Managua FC
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Esteli

(Away)
08 Oct
UNAN-Managua
1 : 0
Esteli
11 Sept
Managua FC
1 : 1
Esteli
06 Sept
Rancho Santana
1 : 1
Esteli
03 Sept
Esteli
2 : 0
San Marcos
30 Aug
Sport Sebaco
0 : 5
Esteli
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Managua FC 10 8 2 0 33:10 26
2 Diriangen 10 8 2 0 22:7 26
3 UNAN-Managua 10 6 2 2 12:7 20
4 Esteli 10 5 3 2 17:7 18
5 Sport Sebaco 9 3 2 4 9:17 11
6 San Marcos 10 3 1 6 9:16 10
7 Matagalpa 9 3 0 6 4:16 9
8 Walter Ferreti 10 2 2 6 14:18 8
9 Jalapa 10 1 2 7 6:16 5
10 Rancho Santana 10 1 2 7 8:20 5
Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners)
Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners)