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Manama Club vs Al Ahli - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bahrain Bahrain

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
41' Event
54' Event

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Manama Club and Al Ahli finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Ahli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Manama Club
30%
Draws
39%
Al Ahli
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Ahli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Ahli come out ahead of Manama Club on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Al Ahli's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Al Ahli here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Manama Club Clean Sheet 17%
Al Ahli Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manama Club Al Ahli
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 7 17
Draws 7 7
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.03 1.49
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Premier League
Manama Club vs Al Ahli
1:3
Apr 27, 2025 Premier League
Manama Club vs Al Ahli
0:1
Nov 24, 2024 Premier League
Al Ahli vs Manama Club
2:0
Apr 22, 2024 Premier League
Al Ahli vs Manama Club
0:0
Feb 25, 2024 King's Cup
Al Ahli vs Manama Club
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manama Club 28 / 100
Al Ahli 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manama Club Al Ahli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ahli Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Manama Club scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Al Ahli let in goals in 68% of their last 37 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Manama Club went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Manama Club VS Al Ahli
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Manama Club

(Home)
10 Sept
Al Muharraq
3 : 1
Manama Club
05 Sept
Manama Club
1 : 5
Al Riffa
29 Aug
Aali Club
1 : 1
Manama Club
30 May
Al Najma
3 : 2
Manama Club
25 May
Manama Club
3 : 0
Al Ittihad
Page 1 of 6

Al Ahli

(Away)
12 Sept
Al Ahli
0 : 2
Al Ittifaq
05 Sept
Al Hidd
0 : 1
Al Ahli
28 Aug
Al Muharraq
1 : 1
Al Ahli
15 May
Al Budaiya
2 : 2
Al Ahli
11 May
Al Ahli
0 : 1
Al Hidd
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Khalidiyah 4 2 2 0 12:5 8
2 Al Riffa 4 2 2 0 8:2 8
3 Al Ittifaq 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
4 Sitra 3 1 2 0 3:0 5
5 Al Muharraq 4 1 2 1 6:5 5
6 Al Hidd 3 1 1 1 2:1 4
7 Al Ahli 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
8 Aali Club 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
9 East Riffa 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
10 Al Najma 3 1 0 2 5:10 3
11 Malkia 4 0 1 3 1:6 1
12 Manama Club 3 0 1 2 3:9 1
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)